MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa52c9e379f22fdf97398ff712ea275797b56699a7f708c0278ea4331f05d2333
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Tigersof Kansas City Royals, Detroit Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,007
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,451
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,007 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 4,908$2,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,770.71 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Detroit Tigers | 44c | 3,900$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200.42 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Detroit Tigers | 43c | 3,169$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,806.27 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Kansas City Royals | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Detroit Tigers | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.22 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 1,980$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.59 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Kansas City Royals | 55c | 1,820$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.76 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf85…ff54backed Kansas City Royals | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Detroit Tigers | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…b10bbacked Detroit Tigers | 35c | 1,000$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Detroit Tigers | 44c | 878.09$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.1 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Detroit Tigers | 42c | 820$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.6 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kansas City Royals | 61c | 791.14$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.51 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kansas City Royals | 67c | 527.32$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.88 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…4e00backed Detroit Tigers | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Kansas City Royals | 55c | 390.25$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.64 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Detroit Tigers | 44c | 371$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.15 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Kansas City Royals | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0317…6289backed Kansas City Royals | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Kansas City Royals | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Detroit Tigers | 43c | 169.17$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.03 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Kansas City Royals | 57c | 141.81$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.83 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Detroit Tigers | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Kansas City Royals | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Detroit Tigers | 45c | 83.88$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.28 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Kansas City Royals | 58c | 66.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…0d0dbacked Detroit Tigers | 44c | 57.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Detroit Tigers | 43c | 51.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…1c52backed Detroit Tigers | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 115 | 62.6%72 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Detroit Tigers | 44c | 40.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c50…9280backed Kansas City Royals | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Kansas City Royals | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x235a…2e57backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Kansas City Royals | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Detroit Tigers | 43c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4816…ee65backed Detroit Tigers | 64c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Kansas City Royals | 58c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Kansas City Royals | 57c | 17.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4163…dee3backed Detroit Tigers | 80c | 17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.