CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5457aa52ba4b7c50bba8e8eb356cf2907e073b15aec55f2fc335cf4eca7e15a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuclear TigeRESof Nuclear TigeRES, CYBERSHOKE Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,162
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,162 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x048f…9992backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 34c | 480.68$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.07 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 29c | 387.15$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.1 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 41c | 348$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.17 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 40c | 265.05$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.99 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 7c | 260$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…1ad3backed Nuclear TigeRES | 53c | 255.36$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.78 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Nuclear TigeRES | 66c | 209.93$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.38 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 49c | 179.76$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed Nuclear TigeRES | 55c | 168.52$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.03 | 198 | 40.9%81 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed Nuclear TigeRES | 52c | 160$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Nuclear TigeRES | 50c | 124$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.37 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 40c | 115.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.19 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked Nuclear TigeRES | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 366 | 45.6%167 W · 199 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Nuclear TigeRES | 44c | 93.38$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.69 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nuclear TigeRES | 67c | 88.62$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…5ef7backed Nuclear TigeRES | 63c | 74.91$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 301 | 53.8%162 W · 139 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 50c | 69.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 50c | 61.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed Nuclear TigeRES | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 497 | 66.8%332 W · 165 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…74f2backed Nuclear TigeRES | 58c | 51.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Nuclear TigeRES | 63c | 41.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 39c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Nuclear TigeRES | 64c | 39.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc620…7a70backed Nuclear TigeRES | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 155 | 40%62 W · 93 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 39c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Nuclear TigeRES | 56c | 32.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 217 | 55.8%121 W · 96 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f5…1d29backed Nuclear TigeRES | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 66c | 27.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2280…31cbbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7df1backed Nuclear TigeRES | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageNuclear TigeRES won
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 1 WinnerNuclear TigeRES won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.