South American Leagues · resolved market
CD Riestra vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa577833b6966400695352e30a27ebb7eaac96bcee07bd33c2f406e63c7b59cef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,141
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,141 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 55c | 11,022$6,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,928.05 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 9,239$3,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,776.55 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 52c | 4,159$2,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,152.76 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 1,757$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.73 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ad…b017backed Over | 43c | 1,272$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 34cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 67c | 762.69$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.16 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 667.03$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.43 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 4c | 625$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 118 | 17.8%21 W · 97 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 42c | 468.05$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.96 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 61c | 464.41$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.99 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed Over | 50c | 440$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.4 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 40c | 410.22$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.07 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac86…985bbacked Over | 73c | 287.51$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.51 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 70cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked Under | 27c | 259.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 112 | 20.5%23 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 44c | 186.57$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.83 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Over | 49c | 113.46$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.32 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 41c | 109$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b96…6226backed Over | 77c | 88.73$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 49c | 65.32$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Under | 17c | 64.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…53c9backed Under | 31c | 60.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 71c | 44.07$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…a242backed Under | 43c | 34.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 61c | 27.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…90b1backed Over | 51c | 23.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Over | 72c | 14.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Riestra vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 0.5this page
- CD Riestra vs. CA Barracas Central: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CD Riestra vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 1.5Under won
- CD Riestra vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 2.5Under won
- CD Riestra vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: CA Barracas Central (-1.5)CD Riestra won
- Spread: CD Riestra (-1.5)CA Barracas Central won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.