South American Leagues · resolved market
CD Riestra vs. CA Barracas Central: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6101a45604d4e6b2de02d4598839c68cd1720f316519205d91c6c81e2e186c1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,161
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 1,123$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.98 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfe…9483backed No | 66c | 803.64$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 34c | 616.58$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.91 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 26c | 503.43$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.81 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 66c | 337.15$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.63 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 25c | 321.31$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.54 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes | 25c | 181.61$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac86…985bbacked No | 76c | 157.02$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.02 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 70cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 34c | 141.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac48…e505backed No | 69c | 135.91$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.61 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…6555backed No | 67c | 103.29$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.09 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked No | 62c | 72.56$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 68c | 71.91$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes | 34c | 64.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 64.21$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked No | 80c | 54.44$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 68c | 48.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 34c | 40.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 74c | 28.19$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 65c | 27.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4208…a0c2backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 66c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 72c | 19.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Riestra vs. CA Barracas Central: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CD Riestra vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 0.5Over won
- CD Riestra vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 1.5Under won
- CD Riestra vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 2.5Under won
- CD Riestra vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: CA Barracas Central (-1.5)CD Riestra won
- Spread: CD Riestra (-1.5)CA Barracas Central won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.