South American Leagues · resolved market
CD Riestra vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x541852bb37801f4ba527dd011de2a136d9537a63fddaafa890f381b9a97592a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,740
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,740 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Over | 52c | 77,390$40,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,105.1 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Under | 48c | 34,313$16,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,842.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under | 48c | 19,374$9,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,074.61 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 12,759$8,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,822.85 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Under | 48c | 7,938$3,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,090.58 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Under | 47c | 7,708$3,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,111.42 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 13c | 5,406$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.43 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57f6…ba20backed Over | 15c | 3,301$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.64 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 35c | 2,805$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.82 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 21c | 1,638$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.79 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Under | 48c | 1,550$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.08 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 53c | 1,132$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.66 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.96 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 55c | 1,131$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.75 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 53c | 1,042$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.12 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 900$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 44c | 882$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.97 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed Under | 51c | 740.04$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.62 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…ce81backed Under | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 68c | 571.44$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.35 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 53c | 490.94$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.29 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 69c | 436.31$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.85 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 50c | 422$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.8 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 48c | 368$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.36 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 65c | 284$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.72 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…6555backed Under | 48c | 202.88$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.5 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 48c | 193.49$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.61 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Over | 53c | 188.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 188$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.76 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 75c | 160$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…0163backed Over | 25c | 155$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +8.8wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…eacebacked Over | 21c | 154.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Over | 52c | 133.27$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Under | 62c | 119.45$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.39 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 58c | 107.21$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.43 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 49c | 102.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.33 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 53c | 102.6$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Under | 48c | 99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 53c | 94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 310 | 39.7%123 W · 187 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Over | 53c | 89.29$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 48c | 88.82$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.18 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 75c | 83.81$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Under | 48c | 82.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.48 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Over | 55c | 81.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Under | 65c | 77.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 48c | 75.95$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.49 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 77c | 75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 56c | 67.39$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…a242backed Under | 70c | 63.87$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…0bd8backed Over | 19c | 63.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…f356backed Under | 62c | 62.77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Under | 63c | 56.41$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 191 | 64.4%123 W · 68 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f1…5b7fbacked Under | 53c | 46.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x193b…f6ecbacked Over | 51c | 46.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 72c | 39.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 74c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 54c | 33.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…53c9backed Under | 55c | 30.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6de2…d0e5backed Over | 45c | 29.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 36c | 28.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1dc…48fabacked Over | 53c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Under | 48c | 27.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0e…cdedbacked Over | 54c | 25.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…131dbacked Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 62c | 24.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Under | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…d7a1backed Under | 65c | 21.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +691.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Riestra vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 1.5this page
- CD Riestra vs. CA Barracas Central: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CD Riestra vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 0.5Over won
- CD Riestra vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 2.5Under won
- CD Riestra vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: CA Barracas Central (-1.5)CD Riestra won
- Spread: CD Riestra (-1.5)CA Barracas Central won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.