MLB · resolved market
Mariners vs. Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa57a7c6f5d02099e7a6db777053d3fbb22c5c5da9fce7123aad4c654e931cb88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marinersof Mariners, Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,119
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,119 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Mariners | 40c | 20,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,999.98 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Padres | 47c | 19,655$9,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,141.6 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…3b96backed Mariners | 53c | 19,129$10,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,990.52 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Padres | 58c | 13,438$7,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,849.63 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fb…84b5backed Mariners | 52c | 10,161$5,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,915.58 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…6528backed Padres | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,799.99 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Padres | 59c | 5,718$3,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,367 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Mariners | 42c | 3,658$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,117.41 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres | 58c | 3,412$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.69 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Mariners | 43c | 2,542$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.71 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mariners | 42c | 1,756$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.81 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Padres | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Padres | 59c | 1,556$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.18 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Mariners | 39c | 1,335$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.38 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Mariners | 41c | 1,321$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.91 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Mariners | 42c | 953.14$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.14 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Padres | 58c | 854$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.32 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Padres | 58c | 688.55$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.6 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Padres | 60c | 600$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Padres | 3c | 465.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Mariners | 74c | 405.53$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.53 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Padres | 61c | 385.33$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.57 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Mariners | 58c | 368.97$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.97 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b0…73adbacked Mariners | 42c | 362$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Mariners | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Padres | 59c | 323.81$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.48 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Padres | 50c | 262.51$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.71 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6f…565dbacked Mariners | 41c | 249$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Padres | 57c | 242.13$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.02 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Padres | 60c | 233.33$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Mariners | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…737dbacked Mariners | 41c | 189$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Padres | 55c | 180.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Mariners | 41c | 170.73$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.73 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Padres | 60c | 167.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked Padres | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Padres | 60c | 160$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad3…245bbacked Padres | 60c | 148$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Padres | 22c | 142.1$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…0581backed Padres | 60c | 122$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcf…d6a9backed Padres | 58c | 120$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6f…0142backed Mariners | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…4e9cbacked Mariners | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1da0…2825backed Padres | 60c | 116.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Padres | 60c | 114$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…512abacked Mariners | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…c381backed Padres | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d0…a5dcbacked Padres | 60c | 90$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Padres | 62c | 87$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.94 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Padres | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35e…6440backed Padres | 60c | 78$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe79b…0fe0backed Mariners | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Mariners | 62c | 67.63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e03…8773backed Padres | 60c | 66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Mariners | 42c | 64$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…4fd2backed Mariners | 50c | 60.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe621…8182backed Mariners | 61c | 57.28$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Padres | 56c | 57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d6…15d7backed Padres | 59c | 56.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0e…4fabbacked Padres | 60c | 56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d62…7a4abacked Padres | 60c | 55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a5…8855backed Padres | 59c | 52.35$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Padres | 60c | 51.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8402…2ce1backed Padres | 60c | 46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9e…9606backed Mariners | 43c | 41.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Padres | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe03…b864backed Mariners | 43c | 40.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd5…c914backed Padres | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3455…b5d7backed Padres | 60c | 39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce7c…163abacked Mariners | 43c | 36.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Mariners | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Padres | 47c | 33.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a93…adb8backed Mariners | 40c | 31.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b1…0c27backed Padres | 58c | 31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c2…f57abacked Mariners | 41c | 30.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Mariners | 47c | 29.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x2b07…a0c7backed Mariners | 44c | 29.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…4081backed Padres | 57c | 29.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x012e…75f3backed Mariners | 43c | 28.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…d2e3backed Mariners | 43c | 28.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a1…a7c6backed Mariners | 43c | 28.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe805…4d2abacked Mariners | 43c | 28.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77ca…612fbacked Padres | 60c | 27.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33e4…7632backed Padres | 59c | 27.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9de…07d5backed Mariners | 44c | 27.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1efd…5321backed Mariners | 43c | 27.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c0…abdfbacked Mariners | 43c | 25.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…2f8abacked Padres | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9a…a73dbacked Padres | 60c | 24.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +4.6wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1bee…72c4backed Padres | 60c | 24.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e0…c910backed Padres | 60c | 24.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…cdb2backed Padres | 59c | 23.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2be…f489backed Padres | 58c | 22.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -5.1wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Padres | 63c | 22.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd3…653bbacked Padres | 57c | 22.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…b028backed Padres | 59c | 21.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2af4…3488backed Padres | 63c | 20.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Padres | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 153 | 62.7%96 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.