CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Vitality Academy vs Alpha Dominion Nation - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6c6901094b29ff0597b1c496f4e368a5178ba888f0f74ef3a4e45e6d0aeb004
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitality Academyof Vitality Academy, Alpha Dominion Nation
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,749
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,749 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 17c | 3,205$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.33 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 14c | 1,516$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.87 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…294fbacked Vitality Academy | 67c | 890.34$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.02 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 7c | 619.11$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.64 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x637b…948bbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 60c | 597.93$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.01 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 34c | 549$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.95 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdced…c799backed Vitality Academy | 52c | 547.54$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.07 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +7.3wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 45c | 518.01$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.16 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 36c | 511.34$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.47 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 49c | 486.12$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 49c | 480.82$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.68 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf868…3b45backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 52c | 445.24$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.5 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Vitality Academy | 48c | 399.99$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…58bcbacked Vitality Academy | 57c | 349.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked Vitality Academy | 48c | 330$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.6 | 265 | 54.3%144 W · 121 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4419…fcf4backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 58c | 322$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.76 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 46c | 275.3$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.78 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked Vitality Academy | 72c | 210$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1d…cc28backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 26c | 201.22$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd560…cc77backed Vitality Academy | 48c | 200$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 56c | 168$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.95 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Vitality Academy | 73c | 156.62$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.21 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf120…ce3cbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 55c | 134.53$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 37c | 128.77$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Vitality Academy | 46c | 121.28$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.32 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 25c | 118$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed Vitality Academy | 47c | 107.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.29 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Vitality Academy | 61c | 102.98$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.08 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 20c | 101$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 21c | 100.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 47c | 96.03$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.13 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…1ffcbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 21c | 92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 60c | 90$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 22c | 88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Vitality Academy | 53c | 78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3f…b997backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 56c | 78$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.85 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab20…d9e2backed Vitality Academy | 45c | 62.89$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 32c | 62.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 20c | 51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 23c | 50.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 26c | 47.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 53c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 60c | 41.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Vitality Academy | 59c | 39.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa8…efa7backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 55c | 35.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f23…441fbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 49c | 34.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 41c | 33.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66f4…6ad5backed Vitality Academy | 56c | 26.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Vitality Academy | 78c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 52c | 22.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 56c | 21.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72a3…1753backed Vitality Academy | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 52c | 19.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45e3…de14backed Vitality Academy | 69c | 17.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Vitality Academy vs Alpha Dominion Nation - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality Academy vs Alpha Dominion Nation (BO3) - United21 Group CAlpha Dominion Nation won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality Academy vs Alpha Dominion Nation - Map 2 WinnerAlpha Dominion Nation won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.