Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa70e974d36a9911ca37748ca07f1fe6a2b287ada6d9bc0d3d1f66f114adc5b80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,178
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Over | 62c | 12,152$7,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,568.62 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 38c | 10,179$3,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,859.82 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Over | 64c | 3,535$2,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.43 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Under | 36c | 1,815$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.25 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Under | 36c | 1,686$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.7 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Over | 62c | 1,278$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.16 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Under | 36c | 990.33$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.52 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…5584backed Under | 36c | 632.64$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.75 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under | 38c | 632$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.16 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Under | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Under | 36c | 453.14$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.13 | 438 | 39.7%174 W · 264 L | -24.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…3be7backed Under | 38c | 418.42$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8a…76a2backed Under | 36c | 211.11$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Under | 36c | 205.56$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 62c | 144.24$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.06 | 450 | 44.7%201 W · 249 L | -29.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 62c | 65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Under | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Over | 63c | 47.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Over | 63c | 46.71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 357 | 55.7%199 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 41c | 37.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 498 | 47.2%235 W · 263 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 59c | 37.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 224 | 52.7%118 W · 106 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?this page
- First Blood in Game 1?LNG Esports won
- Game Handicap: LNG (-1.5) vs Ultra Prime (+1.5)Ultra Prime won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group NirvanaLNG Esports won
- LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports - Game 1 WinnerLNG Esports won
- LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports - Game 2 WinnerUltra Prime won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.