TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: FEC (-1.5) vs Senshi Esports Club (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Frites Esports Clubof Frites Esports Club, Senshi Esports Club
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,837
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,884

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,837 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6918…782bbacked Frites Esports Club74c4,566$3,397 inWon+$1,168.911,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cec…d241backed Senshi Esports Club25c1,000$250 inLost-$2503560%21 W · 14 L+5.4wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+37.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2b17…d36dbacked Senshi Esports Club24c948.12$224 inLost-$22410834.3%37 W · 71 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Senshi Esports Club26c841.57$219 inLost-$218.811,38545.1%625 W · 760 L-12.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Frites Esports Club76c749.99$570 inWon+$1801,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a9a…72e7backed Frites Esports Club77c652.74$503 inWon+$150.1323946%110 W · 129 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Senshi Esports Club25c549.1$135 inLost-$135.4429738.7%115 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Frites Esports Club78c498$388 inWon+$109.5619758.9%116 W · 81 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed Senshi Esports Club23c469.51$108 inLost-$107.9941133.8%139 W · 272 L-28.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Senshi Esports Club22c438$96 inLost-$96.3635443.2%153 W · 201 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Senshi Esports Club25c400$100 inLost-$10042143.9%185 W · 236 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Senshi Esports Club27c356.62$96 inLost-$96.2924832.3%80 W · 168 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Senshi Esports Club25c348.84$87 inLost-$87.211,00747.9%482 W · 525 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Senshi Esports Club25c262.56$66 inLost-$65.6444745.2%202 W · 245 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Senshi Esports Club25c250$63 inLost-$62.521754.8%119 W · 98 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Frites Esports Club76c204.33$155 inWon+$4989050.6%450 W · 440 L+14.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3e0…708fbacked Senshi Esports Club24c176.6$43 inLost-$43.23438.2%13 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Senshi Esports Club28c150$41 inLost-$41.252,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8847…fc98backed Senshi Esports Club23c143.88$33 inLost-$32.68835.2%31 W · 57 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8a1…ceb5backed Senshi Esports Club25c140$35 inLost-$353154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5819…2b4fbacked Senshi Esports Club24c136.29$33 inLost-$32.7150550.7%256 W · 249 L+34.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcccc…05b2backed Frites Esports Club78c128.2$100 inWon+$28.24875%36 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick78cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x267c…5bfdbacked Frites Esports Club48c128.17$62 inWon+$66.6527348%131 W · 142 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88a9…e618backed Senshi Esports Club25c120$30 inLost-$3013349.6%66 W · 67 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Senshi Esports Club25c109.6$27 inLost-$27.0260243.4%261 W · 341 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Senshi Esports Club21c100$21 inLost-$2136048.9%176 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Senshi Esports Club25c90$23 inLost-$22.544743.6%195 W · 252 L+1.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0d3…5b5ebacked Senshi Esports Club25c69$17 inLost-$17.251650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9506…b44fbacked Frites Esports Club76c65.79$50 inWon+$15.79785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick53cpaid+49.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbcd6…f3c8backed Frites Esports Club77c54.37$42 inWon+$12.5112557.6%72 W · 53 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick61cpaid+0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4067…6ffabacked Senshi Esports Club21c50$11 inLost-$10.55125.5%13 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid+47.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a29…8cc4backed Senshi Esports Club24c41.88$10 inLost-$10.0541151.1%210 W · 201 L+19.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Frites Esports Club77c15$12 inWon+$3.4518359.6%109 W · 74 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Frites Esports Club76c15$11 inWon+$3.639555.2%218 W · 177 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Frites Esports Club79c14.6$12 inWon+$3.0745044.7%201 W · 249 L-29.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3238…6471backed Frites Esports Club78c13.5$11 inWon+$2.9713473.9%99 W · 35 L+13.8wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+17.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.