Lol · resolved market
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa73e5addb01586a34c8a981fbd5694704fb8042b096b977422224c721ea690a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gamingof CTBC Flying Oyster, Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,574
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,574 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 35c | 7,274$2,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,761.52 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d82…1b86backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 1c | 5,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 59 | 3.4%2 W · 57 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 64c | 3,210$2,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,054.39 | 704 | 56.4%397 W · 307 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 65c | 3,033$1,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,972.05 | 1,067 | 47%502 W · 565 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 63c | 2,227$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.01 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 41c | 2,145$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.09 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 67c | 1,999$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.84 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 67c | 1,990$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.96 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 36c | 1,530$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.11 | 447 | 51%228 W · 219 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 54c | 1,519$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.84 | 392 | 39%153 W · 239 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 65c | 1,516$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.71 | 1,212 | 54.5%660 W · 552 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 45c | 1,290$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.59 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 68c | 1,176$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.08 | 1,305 | 55.9%729 W · 576 L | +44.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…7653backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 58c | 1,086$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.85 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 66c | 999.9$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.93 | 712 | 49.2%350 W · 362 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed4d…6a0bbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 39c | 981.22$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.79 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 34c | 960.4$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.86 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…cfefbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 34c | 923.06$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.89 | 293 | 38.6%113 W · 180 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe207…56c7backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 35c | 907.52$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.3 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 42c | 880.2$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.52 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 19c | 831.27$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.31 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 7c | 634.36$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.26 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…1135backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 50c | 608.15$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.08 | 440 | 42%185 W · 255 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 12c | 541.61$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.46 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 76c | 494.63$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.7 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 36c | 488.96$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.31 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…f540backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 65c | 400$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 58c | 389.92$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.15 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f84…202ebacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 66c | 299.99$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 958 | 47.6%456 W · 502 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…85c5backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 66c | 298.49$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.87 | 398 | 61.8%246 W · 152 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 68c | 297.08$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.02 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0563…8b03backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 60c | 270.01$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.01 | 684 | 43.6%298 W · 386 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 38c | 254.16$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.76 | 185 | 42.2%78 W · 107 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 39c | 250.54$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.91 | 563 | 41%231 W · 332 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 10c | 233.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 12c | 217.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 35c | 210$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…b62dbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 685 | 57.5%394 W · 291 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 34c | 141.24$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.22 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 41c | 110$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.9 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17fa…1ceabacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 58c | 109.38$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.44 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 59c | 104.3$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.54 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x485b…fc40backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 56c | 67.21$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 15c | 66.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 45c | 64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 342 | 35.7%122 W · 220 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdda5…2471backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 53c | 63.78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.72 | 237 | 69.6%165 W · 72 L | +30.0wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 48c | 63.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | -33.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 66c | 52.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 41c | 52.71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 183 | 57.9%106 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 36c | 51.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6c…620bbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 75c | 49.77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 325 | 66.5%216 W · 109 L | +26.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 29c | 43.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 36c | 39.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 422 | 50%211 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 80c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 572 | 22.7%130 W · 442 L | -48.9wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 45c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 607 | 38.7%235 W · 372 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 58c | 25.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 187 | 50.8%95 W · 92 L | -15.4wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 726 | 37.7%274 W · 452 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 59c | 17.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular SeasonFukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming won
- LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 2 WinnerFukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.