Lol · resolved market
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e5a08fe6dbf9556971ccf55ccdf4d97fa5465161a0afb5ddecceb21e40da5ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gamingof CTBC Flying Oyster, Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 47c | 6,761$3,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,181.82 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…0b06backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 50c | 6,726$3,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,344.7 | 324 | 40.4%131 W · 193 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 2c | 3,938$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.99 | 941 | 34.5%325 W · 616 L | +33.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 55c | 2,585$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.91 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 47c | 2,017$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.89 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed4d…6a0bbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 58c | 1,692$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.56 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 53c | 1,076$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.89 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 51c | 1,058$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.34 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…b3d8backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 48c | 1,010$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.93 | 243 | 59.3%144 W · 99 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…e8edbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 48c | 978.16$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.52 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 44c | 857.84$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.14 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 41c | 802.49$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.27 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 53c | 800$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…0ddcbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 28c | 681.06$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.92 | 123 | 24.4%30 W · 93 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…2812backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 42c | 500$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 97 | 38.1%37 W · 60 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0563…8b03backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 684 | 43.6%298 W · 386 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 40c | 465.13$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.05 | 392 | 39%153 W · 239 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 20c | 451.65$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.69 | 563 | 41%231 W · 332 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 80c | 399.95$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.99 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…a31cbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 65c | 317.58$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.79 | 207 | 39.6%82 W · 125 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 78c | 315.86$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.91 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 52c | 291.36$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.85 | 1,242 | 42.6%529 W · 713 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 34c | 282.47$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 185 | 42.2%78 W · 107 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…c4c5backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 58c | 259.89$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.14 | 212 | 67%142 W · 70 L | +16.3wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 21c | 254.16$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 19c | 242.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.02 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…b62dbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 54c | 199.32$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.63 | 685 | 57.5%394 W · 291 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…6a33backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 49c | 198.6$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.68 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…5fafbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 49c | 196.29$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.11 | 567 | 44.8%254 W · 313 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 54c | 181.49$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.21 | 1,114 | 35%390 W · 724 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 52c | 180$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 171 | 63.7%109 W · 62 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 17c | 178.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 44c | 167.94$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.73 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 42c | 161.73$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.02 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 37c | 152.82$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.13 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf67…1e85backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 36c | 142.48$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.88 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 46c | 130.13$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.38 | 300 | 35%105 W · 195 L | -21.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 44c | 104.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a84…e21abacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 40c | 103.63$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 55c | 101.1$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 1,130 | 30%339 W · 791 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda5…2471backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 61c | 79.2$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 237 | 69.6%165 W · 72 L | +30.0wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7792…d10dbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 46c | 77.73$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.97 | 192 | 53.6%103 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 572 | 22.7%130 W · 442 L | -48.9wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x796d…9551backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 432 | 33.8%146 W · 286 L | -20.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 47c | 58.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 32c | 57.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 261 | 54.8%143 W · 118 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 25c | 56.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 46c | 52.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 56c | 50.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 183 | 57.9%106 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 457 | 39.6%181 W · 276 L | -37.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 49c | 49.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 44c | 48.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef08…2cd0backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 57c | 40.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x047a…941ebacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 726 | 37.7%274 W · 452 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 52c | 37.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 187 | 50.8%95 W · 92 L | -15.4wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…4db5backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 49c | 35.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 249 | 39%97 W · 152 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x485b…fc40backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 61c | 32.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 49c | 31.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 349 | 45.6%159 W · 190 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 54c | 29.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 42c | 29.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 52c | 21.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 690 | 41.3%285 W · 405 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular SeasonFukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming won
- LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 1 WinnerFukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.