Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
New Mexico State Aggies vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7925239ebc51c9893decd3532c5d7e34634bda34901b84adc5fe2bbe75920a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New Mexico State Aggiesof New Mexico State Aggies, Jacksonville State Gamecocks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,648
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,648 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 71c | 4,196$2,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.89 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 27c | 3,596$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.31 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 37c | 1,412$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.22 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 36c | 1,176$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked New Mexico State Aggies | 64c | 1,081$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.03 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 13c | 865.08$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.79 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 20c | 720$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.56 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed New Mexico State Aggies | 44c | 575$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New Mexico State Aggies | 70c | 552$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.08 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 9c | 515$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.57 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 34c | 409.09$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.1 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 59c | 403.04$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.99 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked New Mexico State Aggies | 60c | 346$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.4 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 75c | 314$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.08 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 56c | 306.99$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.92 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked New Mexico State Aggies | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 31c | 189.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.69 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed New Mexico State Aggies | 44c | 178.94$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.21 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 56c | 178.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 18c | 168.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 26c | 121$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked New Mexico State Aggies | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 33c | 82.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 30c | 79.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 43c | 69.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 29c | 67.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…82a8backed New Mexico State Aggies | 46c | 54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 48c | 49.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 35c | 30.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…be18backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New Mexico State Aggies vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocksthis page
- New Mexico State Aggies vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks: O/U 138.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.