Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Ekaterina Agureeva vs Marianna Argyrokastriti
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7bf7ddaef34dda08c3db1c3c6d7ed7cbfe35d5056939f9b56688a78021c91d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ekaterina Agureevaof Ekaterina Agureeva, Marianna Argyrokastriti
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,323
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,323 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Marianna Argyrokastriti | 74c | 912.01$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.72 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Marianna Argyrokastriti | 76c | 834.05$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.94 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Ekaterina Agureeva | 24c | 662.51$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.51 | 323 | 29.7%96 W · 227 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Ekaterina Agureeva | 24c | 551.33$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.01 | 391 | 35.8%140 W · 251 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Ekaterina Agureeva | 24c | 517.04$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.95 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ekaterina Agureeva | 32c | 275.02$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.27 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Ekaterina Agureeva | 53c | 82.08$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.58 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Marianna Argyrokastriti | 73c | 76.46$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.79 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Marianna Argyrokastriti | 76c | 75.66$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b1aebacked Ekaterina Agureeva | 14c | 72.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.12 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Marianna Argyrokastriti | 76c | 69$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Marianna Argyrokastriti | 64c | 48.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Ekaterina Agureeva | 33c | 46.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Marianna Argyrokastriti | 57c | 44.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 474 | 53.2%252 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Marianna Argyrokastriti | 60c | 40.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Ekaterina Agureeva | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Ekaterina Agureeva | 34c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Ekaterina Agureeva | 33c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…7537backed Marianna Argyrokastriti | 76c | 26.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 113 | 72.6%82 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 77cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Marianna Argyrokastriti | 79c | 25.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Marianna Argyrokastriti | 79c | 23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Marianna Argyrokastriti | 74c | 20.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Marianna Argyrokastriti | 72c | 19.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Marianna Argyrokastriti | 80c | 18.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Marianna Argyrokastriti | 76c | 16.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 277 | 49.1%136 W · 141 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Marianna Argyrokastriti | 79c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 240 | 52.5%126 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Ekaterina Agureeva | 72c | 14.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.