CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa81be3900b560245d9add27691041d32b0be280103bc8be5954e6d42212e5e01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,889
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,889 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a95…9353backed Under | 62c | 298$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe65a…64a9backed Over | 37c | 235$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef73…51a4backed Under | 62c | 225$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60df…fb5bbacked Under | 63c | 218$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5475…05b4backed Over | 38c | 207$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6af2…c5b1backed Under | 62c | 205$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8f…8823backed Over | 37c | 202$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c5…8859backed Under | 63c | 195$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x502c…e162backed Over | 38c | 181$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3de…d87fbacked Over | 38c | 179$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 53c | 165.41$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.44 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8902…4647backed Over | 38c | 161$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…6715backed Under | 63c | 158$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…a083backed Over | 37c | 134$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 22c | 118$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 43c | 89.87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.47 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…1521backed Under | 66c | 76.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Over | 34c | 53.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.02 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa05c…aa9bbacked Over | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 215 | 57.2%123 W · 92 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 47c | 49.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.49 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 40c | 47.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd030…bcf3backed Under | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 77c | 38.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Over | 47c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Under | 52c | 24.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2B8 won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 WinnerB8 won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 WinnerFURIA won
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)B8 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.