CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d452dafaf3fc83cbf6a75adcfcfef00d120d989e949f5239bae24643996cbcc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIAof FURIA, B8
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $153,835
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,835 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed B8 | 0c | 42,091$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4564…c051backed B8 | 0c | 20,167$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked B8 | 19c | 20,129$3,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,893.03 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked FURIA | 77c | 8,955$6,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,067.8 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x568c…fbd0backed FURIA | 72c | 8,368$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,368.13 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed B8 | 28c | 8,300$2,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,324 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6395…d69dbacked B8 | 13c | 4,402$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.3 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked FURIA | 74c | 4,131$3,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.17 | 164 | 48.2%79 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked FURIA | 73c | 2,831$2,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778 | 157 | 60.5%95 W · 62 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked FURIA | 77c | 2,010$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.4 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed B8 | 29c | 2,009$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed FURIA | 71c | 1,926$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.4 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked B8 | 26c | 1,245$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed FURIA | 74c | 1,135$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.13 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked FURIA | 77c | 1,007$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.95 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed B8 | 28c | 955.2$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.88 | 172 | 30.8%53 W · 119 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed B8 | 26c | 743.6$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.91 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed B8 | 27c | 718.25$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked FURIA | 76c | 629.93$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.91 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed B8 | 31c | 595.32$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.22 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f72…adc6backed FURIA | 79c | 549.37$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.37 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked FURIA | 72c | 535.56$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.35 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ae…a7b9backed B8 | 20c | 502.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed B8 | 23c | 401.25$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.25 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed B8 | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed FURIA | 71c | 303.49$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.18 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked B8 | 20c | 303$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.77 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed B8 | 27c | 300$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.8 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed B8 | 15c | 298.51$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed B8 | 4c | 275.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…2b45backed B8 | 28c | 267.86$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…1cd6backed FURIA | 73c | 258.91$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.9 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed FURIA | 72c | 221.69$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.07 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked FURIA | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed B8 | 20c | 183.86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b6…fdefbacked B8 | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d1…ee7abacked B8 | 16c | 149.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 224 | 54.5%122 W · 102 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed FURIA | 70c | 146$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.02 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed FURIA | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked FURIA | 77c | 120$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb898…151cbacked FURIA | 75c | 119.91$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54cf…e36dbacked B8 | 28c | 118.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked FURIA | 78c | 117.98$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed B8 | 19c | 116$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed FURIA | 72c | 110$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 161 | 52.8%85 W · 76 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5e…86a7backed B8 | 27c | 106.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f8…f27bbacked B8 | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked FURIA | 74c | 79.42$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked B8 | 29c | 75.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 268 | 36.6%98 W · 170 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed B8 | 21c | 70.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5e…7b83backed B8 | 28c | 57.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed B8 | 22c | 52.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed B8 | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked FURIA | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked FURIA | 77c | 49.31$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 275 | 56.7%156 W · 119 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed FURIA | 73c | 45.45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked B8 | 26c | 41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked B8 | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…b637backed FURIA | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 625 | 38.6%241 W · 384 L | -16.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed FURIA | 72c | 36.11$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13b7…be2cbacked B8 | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3726…8521backed FURIA | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed FURIA | 77c | 14.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.48 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2B8 won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 WinnerB8 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)B8 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.