CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad5d97d7616597d5caf5a8ae74895f65c86095c81e7604189dfd0a93c7fab9ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- B8of FURIA, B8
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,434
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,434 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7645…3117backed FURIA | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.99 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked B8 | 48c | 3,310$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,721.29 | 164 | 48.2%79 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked B8 | 48c | 1,700$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FURIA | 52c | 1,359$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.78 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked B8 | 71c | 1,123$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.2 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked B8 | 62c | 1,069$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.02 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed FURIA | 52c | 987.25$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.37 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ad…6b11backed FURIA | 55c | 555.18$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.73 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked B8 | 46c | 512.28$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.97 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked FURIA | 51c | 423.26$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4013…406bbacked FURIA | 54c | 400$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.59 | 150 | 63.3%95 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed B8 | 45c | 378.82$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.35 | 172 | 30.8%53 W · 119 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed B8 | 46c | 362.98$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.18 | 161 | 52.8%85 W · 76 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked FURIA | 25c | 343.94$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.19 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed FURIA | 38c | 338.37$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked FURIA | 52c | 279.48$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.33 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed B8 | 59c | 270.59$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.04 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed B8 | 64c | 256.81$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.46 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…1712backed FURIA | 50c | 230.37$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.59 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9704…9d43backed FURIA | 49c | 221.07$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.26 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed FURIA | 12c | 218.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed FURIA | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked FURIA | 55c | 217.54$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.15 | 319 | 33.5%107 W · 212 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed FURIA | 49c | 215.69$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.69 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked B8 | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed B8 | 45c | 191.3$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.22 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…03cbbacked B8 | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed B8 | 48c | 131.3$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.27 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…0b73backed B8 | 45c | 120.22$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.12 | 171 | 53.2%91 W · 80 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked B8 | 56c | 115.49$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.43 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked B8 | 47c | 115.42$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.13 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed FURIA | 53c | 108.24$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.37 | 428 | 45.6%195 W · 233 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked B8 | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 767 | 48%368 W · 399 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked FURIA | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 251 | 43.8%110 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd99…c06cbacked FURIA | 55c | 91.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…6de8backed B8 | 48c | 85.48$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.45 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked FURIA | 29c | 78.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed FURIA | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | -29.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed B8 | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 266 | 60.9%162 W · 104 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…4208backed FURIA | 52c | 57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 243 | 39.5%96 W · 147 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed B8 | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed B8 | 45c | 45.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…2ef0backed B8 | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 240 | 55.8%134 W · 106 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked FURIA | 49c | 30.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 200 | 52.5%105 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed FURIA | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8617…49e5backed FURIA | 53c | 29.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked B8 | 56c | 25.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed FURIA | 57c | 21.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 184 | 47.8%88 W · 96 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2B8 won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 WinnerB8 won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 WinnerFURIA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.