CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Drip Too Hard vs MASONIC - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8a965603bf02de9058a87f60cbfb3ffbfdc6f84e9092c36ea8149c4b653c9d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Drip Too Hardof Drip Too Hard, MASONIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,544
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,940
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,544 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed MASONIC | 12c | 613.79$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.11 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1c…6383backed Drip Too Hard | 58c | 550$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed MASONIC | 42c | 472.42$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.42 | 323 | 44.3%143 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed MASONIC | 36c | 380.98$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.78 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked MASONIC | 15c | 353.8$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…05c5backed MASONIC | 6c | 227.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Drip Too Hard | 75c | 227.33$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.83 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed MASONIC | 42c | 207.58$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.18 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Drip Too Hard | 65c | 192.25$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.46 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Drip Too Hard | 65c | 190.92$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.56 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed MASONIC | 19c | 159.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed MASONIC | 16c | 147$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31d1…a9f7backed MASONIC | 20c | 128.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Drip Too Hard | 58c | 120$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked MASONIC | 24c | 115.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 379 | 22.2%84 W · 295 L | -43.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Drip Too Hard | 64c | 96.72$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Drip Too Hard | 74c | 94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Drip Too Hard | 65c | 84.3$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed MASONIC | 20c | 71.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Drip Too Hard | 54c | 63.8$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked MASONIC | 38c | 61.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed MASONIC | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Drip Too Hard | 66c | 57.42$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked MASONIC | 35c | 44.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Drip Too Hard | 72c | 36.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed MASONIC | 46c | 29.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed MASONIC | 46c | 29.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 217 | 50.7%110 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked Drip Too Hard | 55c | 27.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked MASONIC | 45c | 27.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Drip Too Hard vs MASONIC - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Drip Too Hard vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group StageDrip Too Hard won
- Counter-Strike: Drip Too Hard vs MASONIC - Map 2 WinnerDrip Too Hard won
- Map Handicap: Drip Too Hard (-1.5) vs MASONIC (+1.5)Drip Too Hard won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.