Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Colgate Raiders vs. Lafayette Leopards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8bd35497b3176a95ae54ef6973dc7d397aa9375d3c2e5b7fb35ccb999603087
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colgate Raidersof Colgate Raiders, Lafayette Leopards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,731
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,469
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,731 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde6d…0926backed Colgate Raiders | 54c | 4,337$2,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,994.89 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Lafayette Leopards | 46c | 4,151$1,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,902.18 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Lafayette Leopards | 28c | 1,617$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.74 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Colgate Raiders | 71c | 376.87$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.41 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Colgate Raiders | 73c | 267.71$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.63 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Colgate Raiders | 79c | 143$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Lafayette Leopards | 45c | 115.94$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.07 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Colgate Raiders | 74c | 110.17$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Lafayette Leopards | 27c | 107$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Colgate Raiders | 65c | 105.78$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.7 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Colgate Raiders | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Lafayette Leopards | 34c | 76.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lafayette Leopards | 35c | 54.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lafayette Leopards | 26c | 53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Lafayette Leopards | 37c | 48.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Lafayette Leopards | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Colgate Raiders | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc840…0650backed Lafayette Leopards | 46c | 34.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed Colgate Raiders | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Colgate Raiders | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…8610backed Colgate Raiders | 73c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…b5bfbacked Colgate Raiders | 73c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Colgate Raiders | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Colgate Raiders | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Colgate Raiders | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…9c8fbacked Colgate Raiders | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed Colgate Raiders | 72c | 19.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…a8edbacked Colgate Raiders | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…218cbacked Colgate Raiders | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.