Tennis · resolved market
Metepec: Edward Winter vs Andres Martin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8d9bf31a051df428df965b34fe6b2c062285103367f7632ac2908991fbe8951
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Winterof Winter, Martin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,127
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,620
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,127 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Martin | 54c | 4,260$2,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,289.77 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Winter | 49c | 3,060$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.44 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -16.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Winter | 57c | 2,682$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.44 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Winter | 54c | 1,973$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.07 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Martin | 37c | 1,593$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.71 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Martin | 29c | 999.99$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 111 | 23.4%26 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Martin | 58c | 711$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.08 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Martin | 23c | 571.4$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Winter | 38c | 329.81$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.81 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Winter | 35c | 280$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Winter | 39c | 268.79$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.24 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Martin | 63c | 266.89$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.78 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Winter | 39c | 192.32$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.04 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Martin | 52c | 189.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.39 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Martin | 60c | 185.38$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.43 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Martin | 47c | 165$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.2 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Martin | 42c | 161.55$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.09 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Winter | 36c | 160$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.4 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Martin | 64c | 146.44$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.72 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Winter | 69c | 141.94$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Martin | 62c | 116.27$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.09 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Martin | 61c | 103.59$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad0…cdc2backed Martin | 34c | 100.41$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Winter | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Martin | 59c | 84.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Winter | 36c | 83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.12 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec7a…a1f2backed Martin | 67c | 73.69$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.11 | 147 | 66.7%98 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Winter | 61c | 61.88$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09be…85c8backed Martin | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Martin | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Winter | 53c | 59.96$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Martin | 61c | 57.65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.17 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Martin | 27c | 56.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Winter | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 540 | 50.4%272 W · 268 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Martin | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba5…e557backed Winter | 40c | 49.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 83 | 74.7%62 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Winter | 64c | 49.11$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Martin | 41c | 37.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Winter | 41c | 32.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 326 | 49.1%160 W · 166 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Winter | 40c | 30.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Metepec: Edward Winter vs Andres Martinthis page
- Winter vs. Martin: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Winter vs. Martin: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.