College Football · resolved market
UNLV vs. Sam Houston
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9483dce6ffc0aacc8a3ae289a61c665317a02907a3093588b32d2941ac653f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UNLVof UNLV, Sam Houston
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,109
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,670
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,109 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Sam Houston | 2c | 935.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Sam Houston | 2c | 634.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Sam Houston | 24c | 561.11$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.67 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Sam Houston | 23c | 400.33$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.15 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Sam Houston | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 224 | 37.5%84 W · 140 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed UNLV | 74c | 384.62$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sam Houston | 8c | 381$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked UNLV | 74c | 378.46$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.09 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Sam Houston | 31c | 324.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Sam Houston | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed UNLV | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Sam Houston | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 20.2%19 W · 75 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked UNLV | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed UNLV | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked UNLV | 75c | 186$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x800e…d9bdbacked UNLV | 76c | 157.89$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Sam Houston | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Sam Houston | 15c | 152.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Sam Houston | 25c | 142.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed UNLV | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Sam Houston | 25c | 117$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Sam Houston | 10c | 114.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa555…2d6fbacked UNLV | 76c | 99.32$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3583…fa7abacked UNLV | 76c | 86.33$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd08a…de3abacked UNLV | 76c | 78.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac0…b10abacked UNLV | 76c | 78.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Sam Houston | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…0c58backed UNLV | 76c | 69.83$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Sam Houston | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…8ebcbacked UNLV | 76c | 58.47$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed UNLV | 75c | 56$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…b14cbacked Sam Houston | 24c | 52.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked UNLV | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Sam Houston | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Sam Houston | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa530…1934backed UNLV | 76c | 33.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed UNLV | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7869…61d8backed UNLV | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x655d…abfebacked UNLV | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ab…c589backed UNLV | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked UNLV | 73c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…f458backed UNLV | 76c | 15.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.