Champions League · resolved market
Will Ajax Amsterdam vs. Inter end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9488e14f3b2e54ead3cd5a868d25f279b7802784602f32faad7b1b90a175f14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,759
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,319
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,759 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x36d1…12b4backed No | 77c | 6,494$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.51 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 12c | 1,850$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.05 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 29c | 1,517$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436 | 106 | 31.1%33 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 75c | 1,219$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.18 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 75c | 1,133$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.32 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 72c | 819.85$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.68 | 1,543 | 40.1%618 W · 925 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes | 23c | 695.26$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.91 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed No | 75c | 644.4$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.1 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 76c | 545.62$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.95 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…6448backed Yes | 6c | 519.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 23c | 481.48$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.74 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8e…7c72backed Yes | 24c | 420$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 18c | 390.02$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.5 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked Yes | 25c | 364$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x001b…1bd7backed Yes | 18c | 344.44$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 24c | 278$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.33 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x356a…d352backed Yes | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 230$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 77c | 130$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9775…8746backed Yes | 24c | 129.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8658…41c6backed Yes | 24c | 121.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…f42dbacked Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f6…79d2backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd1…009bbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8452…e978backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…761cbacked Yes | 25c | 87.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4919…0c56backed Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb39e…5182backed Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 288 | 40.3%116 W · 172 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 27c | 74.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x131f…bb8dbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a3…ae13backed No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad3…915abacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 23c | 44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 291 | 34.4%100 W · 191 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcda5…840dbacked Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 73c | 33.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ajax Amsterdam vs. Inter end in a draw?this page
- Will Ajax Amsterdam win on 2025-09-17?No won
- Will Inter win on 2025-09-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.