Tennis · resolved market
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Sofia Kenin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa95d7eeab61b3190d002cb01c446a4d5ab07cf94c9a1d07d27a2275f2ef3d089
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Samsonovaof Samsonova, Kenin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,698
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,927
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,698 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Samsonova | 65c | 9,745$6,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,425.07 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Kenin | 35c | 5,580$1,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kenin | 19c | 2,252$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.59 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Samsonova | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 375 | 40.8%153 W · 222 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kenin | 36c | 1,863$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.87 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Kenin | 34c | 1,524$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.13 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Kenin | 35c | 1,340$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Kenin | 36c | 1,339$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.97 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Samsonova | 62c | 856.16$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.16 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…f32abacked Kenin | 38c | 574.59$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Kenin | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…49b3backed Samsonova | 72c | 557$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.34 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8be…f991backed Kenin | 4c | 499.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Kenin | 32c | 296.23$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.13 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Kenin | 45c | 280$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Kenin | 35c | 228.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a33…d0e2backed Samsonova | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…db14backed Samsonova | 63c | 158.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.41 | 188 | 63.8%120 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Samsonova | 62c | 108.9$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.88 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf23…ee81backed Samsonova | 66c | 105.34$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -36%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Samsonova | 66c | 102$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Kenin | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Samsonova | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Kenin | 32c | 89.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked Kenin | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Kenin | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Samsonova | 65c | 47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 129 | 42.6%55 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Samsonova | 63c | 46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad40…8cb1backed Kenin | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdc…c974backed Samsonova | 71c | 42.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93d5…9813backed Samsonova | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd891…7341backed Samsonova | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 121 | 61.2%74 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca9…0955backed Samsonova | 66c | 27.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x249a…4917backed Samsonova | 70c | 22.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3780…bd35backed Samsonova | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc172…47cbbacked Samsonova | 66c | 16.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Samsonova | 74c | 14.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Sofia Keninthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Samsonova vs KeninSamsonova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.