Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9a896d364e18ff0c58ced8e11de3106aaf11aa52a5a303bfd73f1f05e116912
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,684
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,077
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,684 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Under | 66c | 1,577$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.95 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Over | 31c | 1,442$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.73 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Over | 41c | 580$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.8 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 57c | 555$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.65 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Under | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 166 | 54.2%90 W · 76 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 69c | 488.06$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.64 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 43c | 482$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.26 | 253 | 42.7%108 W · 145 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 57c | 396.87$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.65 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -13.6wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Over | 34c | 349.02$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.09 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 37c | 162.93$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.65 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6102…1913backed Under | 66c | 151.22$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 94 | 60.6%57 W · 37 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 38c | 145.31$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…b6ffbacked Under | 34c | 142$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.72 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 32c | 124.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 35c | 109.59$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 347 | 42.1%146 W · 201 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 60c | 90.39$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Over | 26c | 88.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 379 | 48.3%183 W · 196 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 34c | 83.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 222 | 65.3%145 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 59c | 80$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 69c | 73.77$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbeca…a1b7backed Under | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe197…71ebbacked Under | 74c | 70.92$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 277 | 45.8%127 W · 150 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15fc…fec7backed Over | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 39c | 61.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 828 | 36.4%301 W · 527 L | -41.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Under | 47c | 49.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 385 | 55.1%212 W · 173 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Under | 47c | 49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…6ba1backed Over | 36c | 46.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4290…af07backed Under | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Under | 71c | 42.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 857 | 42.7%366 W · 491 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 573 | 49.4%283 W · 290 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 32c | 34.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 130 | 30.8%40 W · 90 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 73c | 34.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 358 | 44.4%159 W · 199 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 65c | 33.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Under | 47c | 31.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 257 | 37%95 W · 162 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked Over | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -9.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd16b…36c0backed Under | 68c | 29.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 478 | 54%258 W · 220 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 71c | 19.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed Under | 60c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 2?Team Vitality won
- Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)Karmine Corp won
- LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.