TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Kentucky Wildcats vs. Tennessee Volunteers: O/U 145.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,506
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,495

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,506 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xecfc…cd05backed Over58c4,389$2,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,847.871,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under42c3,194$1,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,342.834,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over57c2,758$1,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.412,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c1,707$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.912,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under42c1,025$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.45,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over51c954$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.712,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d0f…f3e6backed Under51c686.27$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35011946.2%55 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over52c678.48$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.552,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbd2…f8a0backed Under42c631.67$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.151526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick47cpaid-50%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under40c500$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.6749746.5%231 W · 266 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under49c315$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.3540147.6%191 W · 210 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under41c241.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050546.9%237 W · 268 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Under46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019555.4%108 W · 87 L+14.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under42c200$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Under46c130.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6049849.6%247 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed Under45c106.89$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484656.5%26 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+21.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26b9…9ab5backed Over54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.074850%24 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.283,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f93…dd62backed Under43c55.42$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.83560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over59c48.83$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.024,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under43c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7589146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.