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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Kentucky Wildcats vs. Tennessee Volunteers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kentucky Wildcatsof Kentucky Wildcats, Tennessee Volunteers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$119,268
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$124,445

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,268 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf152…64aabacked Tennessee Volunteers72c20,000$14,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,40012364.2%79 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Kentucky Wildcats31c12,915$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,914.954040%16 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Kentucky Wildcats28c7,741$2,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,573.7819950.3%100 W · 99 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Kentucky Wildcats44c4,395$1,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4574544.4%20 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kentucky Wildcats24c4,129$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,133.45,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Kentucky Wildcats19c3,632$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,954.8246446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Tennessee Volunteers70c3,256$2,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,278.5112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Tennessee Volunteers38c2,584$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.911,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Kentucky Wildcats29c2,553$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,812.5939744.8%178 W · 219 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Kentucky Wildcats9c2,499$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,281.982,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a10…8b30backed Kentucky Wildcats12c2,497$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,200.591154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+88.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Kentucky Wildcats12c2,358$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,072.94,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Kentucky Wildcats24c2,353$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,798.262,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Kentucky Wildcats29c2,285$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,633.692,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Tennessee Volunteers71c2,252$1,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,598.781,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Kentucky Wildcats26c1,684$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,250.831,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kentucky Wildcats33c1,662$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.761,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Tennessee Volunteers73c1,592$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.767448.6%36 W · 38 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Kentucky Wildcats7c1,301$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,209.714021.4%30 W · 110 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e2…b0a7backed Kentucky Wildcats34c1,293$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.317965.8%52 W · 27 L+8.9wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kentucky Wildcats25c1,001$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.661,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Kentucky Wildcats19c965.28$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.761,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Tennessee Volunteers69c784.78$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.599045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kentucky Wildcats38c755.88$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.995,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Kentucky Wildcats13c752.78$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.9936942.3%156 W · 213 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Tennessee Volunteers45c729.33$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.672,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Kentucky Wildcats28c728.87$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.619442.6%40 W · 54 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Tennessee Volunteers10c725.3$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.539543.2%41 W · 54 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Kentucky Wildcats33c663.02$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.5269142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Kentucky Wildcats11c630.45$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.0724649.6%122 W · 124 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2eeb…f025backed Kentucky Wildcats10c599.98$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.99850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+90.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1a9…d58bbacked Tennessee Volunteers73c546.6$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Kentucky Wildcats24c506$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.0249747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x851e…05adbacked Tennessee Volunteers63c487.86$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Tennessee Volunteers51c468.39$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.131,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Tennessee Volunteers60c429.87$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.645644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Tennessee Volunteers5c400$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191478.8%13 W · 134 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5b3…7c36backed Tennessee Volunteers16c400$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646016.7%10 W · 50 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+44.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Kentucky Wildcats29c394.99$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.7952928.4%150 W · 379 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Kentucky Wildcats31c378$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.821,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Tennessee Volunteers75c366.63$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.82,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Kentucky Wildcats11c366.37$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.393,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Tennessee Volunteers71c360$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2572250%11 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Tennessee Volunteers68c354.41$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.354,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Tennessee Volunteers72c348.85$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.93,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df1…2da7backed Kentucky Wildcats17c315.57$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.698930.3%27 W · 62 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Tennessee Volunteers13c300$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391608.1%13 W · 147 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-42.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Tennessee Volunteers36c294.89$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.692,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c10…4e76backed Kentucky Wildcats7c291.5$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.2620024%48 W · 152 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7fc…1511backed Kentucky Wildcats21c285.93$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.932642.3%11 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a84…0e54backed Kentucky Wildcats18c267.22$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.221241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2968…ce4cbacked Kentucky Wildcats58c219$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.74520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-65.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed Kentucky Wildcats20c206.25$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.55666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+53%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67e3…e5b3backed Kentucky Wildcats15c200$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1707140.8%29 W · 42 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dca…a7acbacked Tennessee Volunteers71c200$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14225254.8%138 W · 114 L-15.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf37c…3c74backed Kentucky Wildcats17c199.71$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.7621830.7%67 W · 151 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Kentucky Wildcats10c184.09$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.4719332.1%62 W · 131 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Kentucky Wildcats12c171.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.9623544.7%105 W · 130 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a84…e21abacked Kentucky Wildcats21c164.29$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick30cpaid+116.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Kentucky Wildcats33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5214325.9%37 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c8c…237dbacked Kentucky Wildcats25c141$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.7517546.3%81 W · 94 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Tennessee Volunteers77c118$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.8672248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b96…f098backed Tennessee Volunteers9c112.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.524621.7%10 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-36.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e89…2379backed Kentucky Wildcats18c111.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.11560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+79.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Tennessee Volunteers79c110.24$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.061,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5919…ae95backed Kentucky Wildcats14c100$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.55333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+130.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Tennessee Volunteers69c99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.6435050.3%176 W · 174 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd7e…f17dbacked Kentucky Wildcats28c95$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.44316.3%7 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b90…3d27backed Kentucky Wildcats22c89.35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.3517122.8%39 W · 132 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc186…ad81backed Kentucky Wildcats29c86.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.211546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Kentucky Wildcats14c74.95$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.4532343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa06c…6aa8backed Kentucky Wildcats29c68.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.482638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x758a…6c7fbacked Tennessee Volunteers16c67.78$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Tennessee Volunteers72c56.49$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.674,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xded3…b470backed Tennessee Volunteers71c56.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d53…3ad0backed Tennessee Volunteers77c55.44$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.692343.5%10 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-32.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdf4f…bdc8backed Kentucky Wildcats28c53.49$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.491844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Kentucky Wildcats25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304047.5%19 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Tennessee Volunteers70c40$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287040%28 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9bc…45c3backed Kentucky Wildcats32c40$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.21233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Tennessee Volunteers52c39.09$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.521,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Tennessee Volunteers79c32.52$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5357335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x83d0…c927backed Tennessee Volunteers71c28.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked Tennessee Volunteers70c21.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0236248.6%176 W · 186 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x414a…597ebacked Tennessee Volunteers72c20.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151020%2 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-45.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Tennessee Volunteers70c19$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.211338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Tennessee Volunteers71c16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.361,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…06c5backed Tennessee Volunteers72c15.72$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3242751.8%221 W · 206 L+0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.