Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: REBORN vs Misa Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9d2dba2268fb06a1192d3ffc3d53bc2e65695d6a35b916e6db27917e8325269
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REBORNof REBORN, Misa Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,644
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,644 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Misa Esports | 27c | 788.54$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.98 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Misa Esports | 16c | 654$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.85 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed REBORN | 70c | 599.94$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.91 | 430 | 59.8%257 W · 173 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…db31backed Misa Esports | 9c | 582.29$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Misa Esports | 14c | 470.22$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.39 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -20.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Misa Esports | 31c | 404.84$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.88 | 297 | 33.3%99 W · 198 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffa…7710backed Misa Esports | 32c | 381.06$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.69 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Misa Esports | 31c | 336.35$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.99 | 140 | 32.9%46 W · 94 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb319…7130backed REBORN | 71c | 280.19$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…8a03backed REBORN | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe187…a69cbacked REBORN | 72c | 276.39$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.39 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Misa Esports | 13c | 226.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Misa Esports | 16c | 225.41$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.74 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Misa Esports | 30c | 224.44$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.09 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked REBORN | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed REBORN | 67c | 199.84$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked REBORN | 73c | 149.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Misa Esports | 31c | 146.06$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.28 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked REBORN | 71c | 130$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Misa Esports | 12c | 101.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed REBORN | 77c | 100.97$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked REBORN | 66c | 100.1$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a0…3accbacked Misa Esports | 16c | 99.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked REBORN | 73c | 88$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked REBORN | 70c | 85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Misa Esports | 20c | 84.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 164 | 20.1%33 W · 131 L | -20.1wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Misa Esports | 12c | 83.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed REBORN | 69c | 83.05$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed Misa Esports | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Misa Esports | 32c | 69.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Misa Esports | 21c | 59.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Misa Esports | 34c | 57.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -11.5wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -57%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Misa Esports | 28c | 49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 190 | 40%76 W · 114 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…74d3backed REBORN | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc987…123abacked Misa Esports | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Misa Esports | 34c | 38.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…c8c3backed REBORN | 72c | 36.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Misa Esports | 34c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed REBORN | 65c | 33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cde…96e2backed REBORN | 67c | 32.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed REBORN | 71c | 29.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1298…97b6backed REBORN | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked REBORN | 69c | 28.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…01ecbacked REBORN | 71c | 28.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…d93fbacked REBORN | 70c | 22.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb72a…fdc9backed REBORN | 73c | 19.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked REBORN | 66c | 18.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb637…4c42backed REBORN | 68c | 18.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: REBORN vs Misa Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Playoffsthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: RBN (-1.5) vs Misa Esports (+1.5) REBORN won
- Valorant: REBORN vs Misa Esports - Map 1 Winner REBORN won
- Valorant: REBORN vs Misa Esports - Map 2 Winner REBORN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.