Champions League · resolved market
Al Ahly vs. Inter Miami CF: 3+ Goals Scored?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa12679d2338a4cc3b1d18f2dbc730f35c81ce41454d0f43b6b8eceed9f13b21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,576
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,483
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,576 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Yes | 64c | 6,555$4,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,195.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 37c | 4,077$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580.05 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 36c | 2,143$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.33 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a3…c781backed Yes | 63c | 881.73$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 37c | 857.32$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.11 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked Yes | 62c | 765$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.3 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 60cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 36c | 555$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.2 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 37c | 499.98$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.99 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Yes | 64c | 406.68$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.81 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 42c | 328.54$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.51 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 63c | 320$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 62c | 250$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.85 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed No | 38c | 180.57$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.12 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Yes | 66c | 142.92$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.33 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -6.7wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed No | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed No | 35c | 34.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd18…a458backed No | 35c | 31.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f9…3553backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95b…1692backed No | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 63c | 23.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…1efebacked Yes | 63c | 22.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.