Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
St. John's Red Storm vs. DePaul Blue Demons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa65f71d122860cb99fab0b69594fb11e51d46e38e7ac98af831bff7eded8cac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. John's Red Stormof St. John's Red Storm, DePaul Blue Demons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,695
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked St. John's Red Storm | 77c | 2,513$1,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.46 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked DePaul Blue Demons | 17c | 1,819$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.27 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed DePaul Blue Demons | 26c | 1,547$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked DePaul Blue Demons | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed DePaul Blue Demons | 20c | 1,240$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked DePaul Blue Demons | 26c | 1,071$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.54 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed DePaul Blue Demons | 18c | 945.27$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.15 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d59…e0edbacked DePaul Blue Demons | 24c | 836.21$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed DePaul Blue Demons | 15c | 651.32$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.78 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed DePaul Blue Demons | 4c | 513.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked DePaul Blue Demons | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed DePaul Blue Demons | 8c | 492.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.43 | 126 | 17.5%22 W · 104 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked DePaul Blue Demons | 18c | 370$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked St. John's Red Storm | 79c | 364.07$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed DePaul Blue Demons | 21c | 250$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 63 | 19%12 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked DePaul Blue Demons | 25c | 243.54$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.91 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed St. John's Red Storm | 67c | 224.47$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked DePaul Blue Demons | 17c | 202.35$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked St. John's Red Storm | 75c | 164.85$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed DePaul Blue Demons | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked St. John's Red Storm | 79c | 103.71$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +6.4wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed St. John's Red Storm | 76c | 82.9$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed DePaul Blue Demons | 29c | 75.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked DePaul Blue Demons | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 172 | 41.3%71 W · 101 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2e…8649backed DePaul Blue Demons | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5b…6e14backed DePaul Blue Demons | 20c | 62.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…6fbdbacked St. John's Red Storm | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 72cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x309a…f474backed St. John's Red Storm | 79c | 19.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 60cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…5302backed St. John's Red Storm | 78c | 18.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked St. John's Red Storm | 68c | 17.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa0…be2dbacked St. John's Red Storm | 66c | 16.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…217abacked St. John's Red Storm | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked St. John's Red Storm | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 100 | 95%95 W · 5 L | +21.3wins | +0.21per pick | 74cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. John's Red Storm vs. DePaul Blue Demonsthis page
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-10.5)St. John's Red Storm won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. DePaul Blue Demons: O/U 144.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.