CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs Alpha Dominion Nation (BO3) - United21 Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa9b6dfebf14e46d1c332b376cb61785989ecb2edbac3d359121aacfd14ca40b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- INFURITY Gamingof INFURITY Gaming, Alpha Dominion Nation
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,470
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,470 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 13c | 1,468$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.54 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 39c | 593.84$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.35 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 32c | 502$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.71 | 265 | 54.3%144 W · 121 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 12c | 497.31$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.38 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked INFURITY Gaming | 60c | 483.33$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.6 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 14c | 419$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.29 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f4…cddbbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 45c | 404.49$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.11 | 133 | 71.4%95 W · 38 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 12c | 376.51$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.69 | 284 | 34.9%99 W · 185 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 44c | 349.99$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed INFURITY Gaming | 43c | 300$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 394 | 40.4%159 W · 235 L | +30.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 18c | 299.5$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.91 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 38c | 291.27$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.43 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked INFURITY Gaming | 74c | 282.25$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.2 | 397 | 72.5%288 W · 109 L | +38.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 15c | 263.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 38c | 261.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 404 | 49.8%201 W · 203 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 17c | 250$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.37 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 15c | 230.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked INFURITY Gaming | 75c | 202.38$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.36 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed INFURITY Gaming | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 19c | 179.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked INFURITY Gaming | 58c | 158.04$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.74 | 230 | 38.3%88 W · 142 L | -15.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed INFURITY Gaming | 61c | 158$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.23 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 11c | 147$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed INFURITY Gaming | 72c | 140.13$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.91 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 10c | 112$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 16c | 107$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 16c | 107$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 20c | 101.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 21c | 96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked INFURITY Gaming | 75c | 75.76$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked INFURITY Gaming | 60c | 54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 187 | 53.5%100 W · 87 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed INFURITY Gaming | 78c | 48.17$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked INFURITY Gaming | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -6.3wins | -0.31per pick | 46cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xaf77…c826backed INFURITY Gaming | 56c | 34.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cc…239dbacked INFURITY Gaming | 54c | 20.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs Alpha Dominion Nation (BO3) - United21 Group Cthis page
- Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs Alpha Dominion Nation - Map 1 WinnerINFURITY Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs Alpha Dominion Nation - Map 2 WinnerINFURITY Gaming won
- Map Handicap: INF (-1.5) vs Alpha Dominion Nation (+1.5)INFURITY Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.