Premier League · resolved market
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-08-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaaad377c32a5dce01d8bb14d36b7029b33ba6d09b9a69f2800bcfbb0d9101b9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,540
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,540 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 3c | 7,472$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.26 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 12c | 2,568$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.03 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed Yes | 41c | 2,490$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.85 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 2,442$1,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.63 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 59c | 1,599$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.73 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 3c | 720$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 136 | 33.8%46 W · 90 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Yes | 41c | 541.22$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.9 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5abe…84cebacked No | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 39c | 373.8$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.78 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…ab12backed Yes | 5c | 363.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 80c | 314.89$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 59c | 226.13$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.96 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 52c | 212.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.68 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 7c | 150.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 68c | 143$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.54 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +7.2wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Yes | 40c | 119.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…b127backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked No | 58c | 84.48$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391b…cf3ebacked Yes | 42c | 80.42$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 39c | 78.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 59c | 64.44$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.42 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed No | 60c | 64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 40c | 48.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5be1…3371backed No | 59c | 48.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 59c | 46.54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7a…bdb5backed No | 39c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 65c | 30.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 125 | 54.4%68 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 60c | 30.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 47c | 28.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd93…eceebacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 44cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed No | 61c | 21.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 138 | 58.7%81 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccad…46ecbacked No | 60c | 18.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-08-15?this page
- Will Portsmouth FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-08-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.