Tennis · resolved market
ITF W35 Erwitte Women: Milena Steinkamp vs Mary Lewis
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaafa4fef13bd6c1a85bf44457579bf0da2692d3e14b13935cb09a447b693c9f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milena Steinkampof Milena Steinkamp, Mary Lewis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,627
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,413
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,627 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Milena Steinkamp | 63c | 2,847$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.72 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mary Lewis | 42c | 1,238$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.88 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Mary Lewis | 39c | 1,100$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.15 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Milena Steinkamp | 60c | 671.13$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.73 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Milena Steinkamp | 65c | 617.8$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.7 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ef…7d38backed Mary Lewis | 30c | 593.39$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.35 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.33per pick | 37cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Mary Lewis | 28c | 562.79$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d68…4354backed Mary Lewis | 20c | 550$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 217 | 42.9%93 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed Mary Lewis | 31c | 500.75$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.68 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Milena Steinkamp | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 221 | 52%115 W · 106 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Milena Steinkamp | 74c | 300$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.11 | 264 | 41.7%110 W · 154 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Mary Lewis | 49c | 249.02$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.87 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Mary Lewis | 46c | 246.47$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.23 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Mary Lewis | 39c | 223.78$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.28 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Milena Steinkamp | 77c | 185.74$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.68 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Mary Lewis | 45c | 171.16$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.02 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a3…3f10backed Milena Steinkamp | 65c | 153.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.09 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Mary Lewis | 25c | 139$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 268 | 68.3%183 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Milena Steinkamp | 71c | 130.15$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.18 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Milena Steinkamp | 52c | 114.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.36 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Mary Lewis | 41c | 109.37$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.92 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Milena Steinkamp | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 146 | 56.2%82 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Milena Steinkamp | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f38…13c8backed Mary Lewis | 42c | 85.88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Mary Lewis | 35c | 66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Mary Lewis | 41c | 58.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Mary Lewis | 35c | 56.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 329 | 37.1%122 W · 207 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Mary Lewis | 18c | 56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 427 | 43.8%187 W · 240 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Milena Steinkamp | 44c | 55.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mary Lewis | 37c | 51.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Mary Lewis | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Mary Lewis | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…6415backed Mary Lewis | 54c | 40.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfae…155ebacked Mary Lewis | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Mary Lewis | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa52…865bbacked Milena Steinkamp | 62c | 39.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d6…2dfdbacked Milena Steinkamp | 77c | 38.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f98…cb91backed Milena Steinkamp | 43c | 37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Mary Lewis | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ab…e8f6backed Milena Steinkamp | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -59%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF W35 Erwitte Women: Milena Steinkamp vs Mary Lewisthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Steinkamp vs LewisLewis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.