Tennis · resolved market
Saint-Malo: Sarah Rakotomanga vs Lilli Tagger
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaafbe560dcab0c9ae595bc8360681a23f539c60ab7f04d08c0e986ead5460c07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lilli Taggerof Sarah Rakotomanga, Lilli Tagger
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,972
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,972 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 2c | 2,684$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.57 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 5c | 2,421$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.61 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 4c | 1,911$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.84 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 1c | 1,827$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 2c | 1,412$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…507bbacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 9c | 1,050$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.54 | 181 | 33.1%60 W · 121 L | -14.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…a62ebacked Lilli Tagger | 79c | 1,020$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.64 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…841dbacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 101 | 22.8%23 W · 78 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…4463backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 4c | 942.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 274 | 31.8%87 W · 187 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 22c | 563.67$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.9 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93cb…3485backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 21c | 368.32$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.35 | 306 | 39.9%122 W · 184 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 19c | 321.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.27 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Lilli Tagger | 79c | 300.68$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.14 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a3…3f36backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 24c | 195.65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 12c | 162.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 153 | 37.9%58 W · 95 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4739…a1c1backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 10c | 141.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 226 | 42%95 W · 131 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f4…335fbacked Lilli Tagger | 78c | 126.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 242 | 74%179 W · 63 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 11c | 110.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 130 | 33.8%44 W · 86 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b9…9b4abacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 10c | 103.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 23c | 94.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 21c | 93.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Lilli Tagger | 76c | 76$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Lilli Tagger | 77c | 62.02$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…4e14backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 23c | 59.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 178 | 48.9%87 W · 91 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Lilli Tagger | 79c | 55.02$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0664…f7f0backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 21c | 52.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Lilli Tagger | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Lilli Tagger | 78c | 49.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 345 | 49.9%172 W · 173 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x095d…110bbacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 24c | 44.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Lilli Tagger | 75c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Lilli Tagger | 80c | 24.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 315 | 63.5%200 W · 115 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 47c | 22.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 292 | 37.3%109 W · 183 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…c990backed Lilli Tagger | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 85 | 72.9%62 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Lilli Tagger | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 540 | 50.4%272 W · 268 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Saint-Malo: Sarah Rakotomanga vs Lilli Taggerthis page
- Rakotomanga vs. Tagger: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Sarah Rakotomanga vs. Lilli Tagger: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.