Tennis · resolved market
Kingston 2: Siddhant Banthia vs Matt Kuhar
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaafcf6450eb71de5fd92e077f3b56247d4c0d37e8baf81152278b5848a0e94ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matt Kuharof Siddhant Banthia, Matt Kuhar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,076
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,740
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,076 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x365f…706abacked Siddhant Banthia | 7c | 2,642$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.86 | 1,764 | 46.8%826 W · 938 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Siddhant Banthia | 9c | 2,325$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.58 | 4,126 | 44.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L | +13.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50b9…4467backed Siddhant Banthia | 18c | 833.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 380 | 33.9%129 W · 251 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Siddhant Banthia | 13c | 730.77$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1,011 | 41.4%419 W · 592 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Siddhant Banthia | 30c | 600$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.51 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Siddhant Banthia | 36c | 552.76$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.99 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…a6c0backed Siddhant Banthia | 9c | 491.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Siddhant Banthia | 6c | 459.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 4,882 | 38.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x877f…8f3bbacked Matt Kuhar | 64c | 335.05$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.62 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Siddhant Banthia | 12c | 299.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Siddhant Banthia | 20c | 279.88$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.22 | 250 | 48.4%121 W · 129 L | +22.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fd…3798backed Siddhant Banthia | 13c | 184.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 94 | 21.3%20 W · 74 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Siddhant Banthia | 6c | 175.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 6,419 | 46.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Matt Kuhar | 64c | 151.16$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.42 | 1,002 | 50.2%503 W · 499 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Matt Kuhar | 69c | 80.04$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 3,187 | 48.4%1,542 W · 1,645 L | -46.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d9…b1b1backed Matt Kuhar | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 503 | 36%181 W · 322 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Siddhant Banthia | 20c | 55.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 269 | 39%105 W · 164 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Matt Kuhar | 73c | 47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 6,596 | 50.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L | +259.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Siddhant Banthia | 22c | 46.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9addbacked Matt Kuhar | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 371 | 63.6%236 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Matt Kuhar | 64c | 30.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 418 | 63.9%267 W · 151 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Siddhant Banthia | 36c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 2,442 | 35.8%874 W · 1,568 L | -29.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Matt Kuhar | 71c | 24.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Matt Kuhar | 64c | 23.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 312 | 50.6%158 W · 154 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…e94abacked Matt Kuhar | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Matt Kuhar | 76c | 17.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 5,288 | 56.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L | +231.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.