Tennis · resolved market
ITF Rochester: Maxime St-Hilaire vs Joaquim Almeida
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab11efd67bbb780f94650dc003ccc94878fb8e75e8e780650c1e77e8b0812f95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Joaquim Almeidaof Maxime St-Hilaire, Joaquim Almeida
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,097
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,097 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x060f…5a9dbacked Joaquim Almeida | 71c | 34,462$24,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,977.29 | 76 | 72.4%55 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Maxime St-Hilaire | 29c | 28,633$8,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,300.36 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Maxime St-Hilaire | 28c | 1,629$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.22 | 4,411 | 51.8%2,286 W · 2,125 L | +137.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Maxime St-Hilaire | 30c | 1,444$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.95 | 6,419 | 46.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Maxime St-Hilaire | 27c | 977$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.72 | 4,584 | 48.3%2,215 W · 2,369 L | +35.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Maxime St-Hilaire | 30c | 610.67$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.05 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Maxime St-Hilaire | 30c | 475.21$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.71 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed Maxime St-Hilaire | 38c | 464.42$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.48 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Maxime St-Hilaire | 29c | 338$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.56 | 5,377 | 48.7%2,617 W · 2,760 L | +16.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Maxime St-Hilaire | 27c | 337.51$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.03 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Joaquim Almeida | 66c | 106.06$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 241 | 59.3%143 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Maxime St-Hilaire | 39c | 68.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Joaquim Almeida | 79c | 63.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 353 | 79.3%280 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 78cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Joaquim Almeida | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Joaquim Almeida | 65c | 48.93$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…a81dbacked Joaquim Almeida | 76c | 46.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Joaquim Almeida | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Joaquim Almeida | 80c | 29.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…7537backed Joaquim Almeida | 78c | 25.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 113 | 72.6%82 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 77cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Joaquim Almeida | 80c | 23.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Joaquim Almeida | 72c | 15.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf770…f4bdbacked Joaquim Almeida | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…1781backed Joaquim Almeida | 68c | 15.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 266 | 64.7%172 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.