CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Benched gods vs NEW VISION - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab2167c2b8dab7e3b7f7e3d00c69311cf9ad65dda9f0c609405916660192c66b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NEW VISIONof Benched gods, NEW VISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,542
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,542 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked NEW VISION | 62c | 2,599$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.67 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NEW VISION | 74c | 1,920$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.91 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked Benched gods | 26c | 1,900$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.57 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe222…6019backed Benched gods | 45c | 1,247$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.63 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked NEW VISION | 67c | 717.25$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.02 | 817 | 44.7%365 W · 452 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…8c32backed Benched gods | 44c | 599.8$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.21 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54bc…b4e9backed Benched gods | 29c | 522.06$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed Benched gods | 44c | 449.99$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed Benched gods | 44c | 444$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.36 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked NEW VISION | 61c | 434.35$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.28 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked Benched gods | 42c | 375.92$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.72 | 268 | 54.5%146 W · 122 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed Benched gods | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 333 | 48.9%163 W · 170 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…df1dbacked Benched gods | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked NEW VISION | 55c | 277.62$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.31 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5657…42a6backed Benched gods | 46c | 217.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked NEW VISION | 62c | 213.11$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df3…1411backed Benched gods | 32c | 156.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb140…ce3dbacked Benched gods | 33c | 153.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf43f…6c9dbacked Benched gods | 11c | 140$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked NEW VISION | 65c | 139$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.29 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac33…fda0backed Benched gods | 38c | 131.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…e42bbacked Benched gods | 48c | 103.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 115 | 60.9%70 W · 45 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked NEW VISION | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked NEW VISION | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked NEW VISION | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.84 | 1,632 | 43.2%705 W · 927 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed NEW VISION | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed NEW VISION | 65c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2c…9642backed NEW VISION | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed NEW VISION | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…98f9backed Benched gods | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Benched gods | 26c | 49.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 735 | 53.5%393 W · 342 L | +28.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked NEW VISION | 63c | 40.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Benched gods | 26c | 38.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 773 | 46.1%356 W · 417 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…bb87backed Benched gods | 39c | 33.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked NEW VISION | 56c | 31.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x162d…9155backed NEW VISION | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…9845backed NEW VISION | 69c | 28.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked NEW VISION | 57c | 28.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked Benched gods | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 226 | 58%131 W · 95 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked NEW VISION | 54c | 24.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 681 | 47%320 W · 361 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NEW VISION | 52c | 22.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Benched gods vs NEW VISION - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Benched gods vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #6 Group CNEW VISION won
- Counter-Strike: Benched gods vs NEW VISION - Map 1 WinnerNEW VISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.