Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Quinnipiac Bobcats: O/U 141.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab7dc091f363ccc3f8beceab87561a774d9180bf62584b59f7d6e60193e0f3ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,511
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,521
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,511 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Over | 51c | 45,000$22,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,950 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 49c | 22,635$11,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,543.88 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 20,346$10,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,215.9 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 10,315$5,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,262.82 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 51c | 6,389$3,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,105.71 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 49c | 5,835$2,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,961.26 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Over | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 49c | 2,930$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.3 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Over | 46c | 999.99$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 50c | 900$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Over | 51c | 441.55$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.13 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 55c | 360$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 51c | 296.82$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.41 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 49c | 190.67$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.24 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 49c | 180.38$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.99 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Under | 49c | 153$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.03 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Under | 56c | 140$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Over | 52c | 115$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 102.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.88 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…12a9backed Under | 50c | 54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed Under | 59c | 52.77$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Under | 51c | 51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d7…42c1backed Under | 59c | 34.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Under | 50c | 26.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Quinnipiac Bobcats: O/U 141.5this page
- Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Quinnipiac BobcatsQuinnipiac Bobcats won
- Spread: Quinnipiac Bobcats (-13.5)Quinnipiac Bobcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.