CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac710a2e6d503989394926f87c2a1aa32327c9a3279a83508a5298f6212cde3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- M80of M80, Voca
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,054
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,088
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,054 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Voca | 13c | 3,183$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed M80 | 79c | 1,476$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.87 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Voca | 21c | 888.88$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.03 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Voca | 21c | 640.48$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.5 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed Voca | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 439 | 33.7%148 W · 291 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…ed1fbacked M80 | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Voca | 22c | 238.41$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.45 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed M80 | 80c | 175.9$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.18 | 388 | 39.4%153 W · 235 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…f786backed Voca | 20c | 170$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 131 | 19.8%26 W · 105 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed M80 | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Voca | 18c | 149.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…22eabacked Voca | 19c | 145.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Voca | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 616 | 38.1%235 W · 381 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Voca | 18c | 121.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6de0…ea80backed Voca | 20c | 120.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 196 | 55.1%108 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked M80 | 80c | 120$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Voca | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Voca | 15c | 80.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Voca | 19c | 76.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed M80 | 80c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca - Map 1 WinnerM80 won
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca - Map 2 WinnerM80 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.