La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-05-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacb2a277a05cb3bbdf131f3b5cddd7388bd43e6741236b7010f3980c282ad1c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,847
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,847 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 10c | 4,719$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.2 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0529…c9dabacked Yes | 19c | 4,700$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 11c | 4,040$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.97 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Yes | 19c | 3,797$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.05 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed6…c8f7backed Yes | 13c | 2,307$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 17c | 2,000$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.38 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 16c | 1,952$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.29 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 14c | 722.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed No | 76c | 613.61$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.27 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 16c | 485.23$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 4c | 334.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 70c | 243.96$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.82 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Yes | 23c | 237.95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.69 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes | 26c | 221.32$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.43 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 13c | 172.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Yes | 30c | 170.48$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 16c | 150.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed Yes | 17c | 119$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Yes | 18c | 110.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9368…8518backed Yes | 20c | 76.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked No | 69c | 74.3$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.18per pick | 61cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x76f2…19e1backed Yes | 24c | 62.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…4153backed Yes | 24c | 57.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3879…5588backed No | 77c | 37.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…8836backed No | 77c | 33.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 76c | 27.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x094d…be82backed No | 77c | 25.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9300…8696backed No | 77c | 24.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-05-31?this page
- Will Málaga CF win on 2026-05-31?Yes won
- Will Real Zaragoza vs. Málaga CF end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.