La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Zaragoza vs. Málaga CF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71e0f7f656a9403604b5fee9b7df73b90ef339a2cb5a0f081d1966f23168a6ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,963
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,963 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 24c | 4,091$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.75 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 24c | 3,125$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed No | 76c | 2,895$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.74 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 76c | 1,400$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +13.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 984.28$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.39 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 921.62$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.02 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 75c | 904.17$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.51 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed No | 75c | 561.19$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 27c | 525.62$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.92 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 268 | 53%142 W · 126 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 22c | 379.88$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.57 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 75c | 343.45$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.51 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 73c | 297.05$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.8 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 79c | 222.49$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.19 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 25c | 217.53$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.38 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed No | 72c | 147.92$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 78c | 132.26$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.29 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 79c | 77.4$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 22c | 73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed No | 76c | 48.03$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 91 | 67%61 W · 30 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 25c | 43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9906…7d46backed No | 76c | 30.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 73c | 27.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe36a…ae58backed No | 76c | 22.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Zaragoza vs. Málaga CF end in a draw?this page
- Will Málaga CF win on 2026-05-31?Yes won
- Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-05-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.