South American Leagues · resolved market
CA River Plate vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacc6540569bd194666aadd22da7c01d2487a8cb3558107332782c7046f6ca10a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,140
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 67c | 9,047$6,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,021.03 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 31c | 8,483$2,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,628.66 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 4,262$2,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.96 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 30c | 2,863$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.66 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 63c | 2,142$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.21 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Over | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 61c | 1,969$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.32 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 39c | 1,594$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.64 | 2,287 | 34.3%784 W · 1,503 L | -30.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 63c | 999.83$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 69c | 763.34$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.07 | 1,303 | 50.1%653 W · 650 L | -14.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 24c | 526.19$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 41c | 496.73$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.82 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 62c | 471.19$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.61 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Under | 41c | 447.78$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.97 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d86…54bdbacked Over | 59c | 386.98$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 36c | 318.88$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.08 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 58c | 296.6$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.59 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 56c | 282.73$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.81 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Under | 38c | 255.44$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.73 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 37c | 225.78$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.24 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…8d95backed Over | 53c | 220.49$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 36c | 220.18$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.91 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 37c | 216.22$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.22 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88d…f708backed Over | 35c | 213.03$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.56 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…9904backed Under | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Over | 64c | 203.13$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 47c | 199.79$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.66 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Under | 70c | 146.35$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Under | 71c | 132.8$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.51 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 70c | 124.89$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 36c | 106$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.84 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 41c | 97.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 37c | 94.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.59 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 31c | 87.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 40c | 74.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 30c | 69.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Under | 69c | 67.48$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc057…804abacked Under | 66c | 62.69$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 32c | 61.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Under | 71c | 61.77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…9138backed Over | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…36a2backed Over | 36c | 55.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c34…dda1backed Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 63c | 49.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dca…a234backed Over | 32c | 47.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 19cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…8a42backed Under | 38c | 44.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…e4a2backed Over | 31c | 40.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 49c | 39.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 39c | 38.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5665…47debacked Over | 33c | 37.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Under | 70c | 36.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…5782backed Under | 67c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked Under | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Under | 37c | 32.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…5300backed Under | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb630…e38ebacked Over | 50c | 29.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 37c | 27.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Over | 61c | 25.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45a7…9047backed Over | 43c | 25.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3c…78a5backed Over | 64c | 25.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4099…8c46backed Under | 69c | 23.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Under | 76c | 18.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA River Plate vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 1.5this page
- CA River Plate vs. CA Rosario Central: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA River Plate (-1.5)CA Rosario Central won
- Spread: CA Rosario Central (-1.5)CA River Plate won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.