Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad1117cbd4ce5aaa04e3e220b14c7327889b87e5df81daa54007bcf2aaf33d85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,049
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 71c | 4,992$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.78 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 28c | 3,116$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.63 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 50c | 1,563$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.75 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 48c | 1,327$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.1 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 26c | 999.67$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.64 | 174 | 21.8%38 W · 136 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 50c | 967.59$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.8 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 51c | 948.89$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.11 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 51c | 291.44$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.78 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 66c | 278.69$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.99 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…e44ebacked Yes | 32c | 262.53$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.52 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 53c | 255.84$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.72 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…6598backed No | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 70c | 102.5$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.89 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 49c | 99.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…1534backed Yes | 75c | 95.24$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 51c | 92.79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f8…31e9backed Yes | 54c | 90.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ede…37c8backed No | 20c | 79.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 49c | 62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 191 | 65.4%125 W · 66 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe72e…b33dbacked Yes | 41c | 60.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 49c | 50.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed No | 61c | 46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 51c | 45.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 24c | 41.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 205 | 50.7%104 W · 101 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 50c | 41.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…4a23backed Yes | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 31c | 34.24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Yes | 51c | 28.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 47c | 26.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 124 | 37.9%47 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Yes | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 51c | 21.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 49c | 20.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed No | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 51c | 20.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa867…71abbacked Yes | 70c | 17.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-05-16?this page
- Will Lillestrøm SK vs. Sandefjord Fotball end in a draw?No won
- Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-05-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.