Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Cerundolo vs Suresh
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad11b2899278259e8d3e89b2f769ab93b7c1b1590dfaed4a575fe97e57aa2a1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cerundoloof Cerundolo, Suresh
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,490
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,490 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a88…b859backed Suresh | 1c | 9,473$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.73 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +527.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…14ffbacked Cerundolo | 57c | 1,643$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.53 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Suresh | 43c | 821.79$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.37 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Suresh | 42c | 325.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.91 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Suresh | 34c | 314.97$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.54 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5afc…82bdbacked Cerundolo | 72c | 200$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Suresh | 48c | 193.75$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Cerundolo | 58c | 190.97$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.12 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Suresh | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 603 | 42%253 W · 350 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…104cbacked Suresh | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 302 | 51.3%155 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Cerundolo | 75c | 170.8$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.8 | 171 | 52.6%90 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…86e1backed Suresh | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 149 | 21.5%32 W · 117 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Suresh | 26c | 46.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | +18.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba8c…e77dbacked Cerundolo | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cerundolo | 64c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Cerundolo | 77c | 17.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Cerundolo vs Sureshthis page
- Cerundolo vs. Suresh: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Set Handicap: Cerundolo (-1.5) vs Suresh (+1.5)Cerundolo won
- Winston-Salem Open: Completed Match: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Dhakshineswar SureshYes won
- Winston-Salem Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Dhakshineswar SureshJuan Manuel Cerundolo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.