Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Elza Tomase vs Dunja Maric
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xada79db2741d3b10c0d4f35d79ca80ab1e3eaa313f479b5b42f4f0e844a2347c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elza Tomaseof Elza Tomase, Dunja Maric
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Elza Tomase | 28c | 1,202$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.44 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Dunja Maric | 72c | 687.21$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.41 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Dunja Maric | 16c | 647.9$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.91 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Dunja Maric | 71c | 593.72$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.54 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…e9dcbacked Elza Tomase | 49c | 313.91$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.13 | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d68…d64cbacked Dunja Maric | 75c | 288.91$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Dunja Maric | 71c | 197.89$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.5 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…6118backed Dunja Maric | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 239 | 65.3%156 W · 83 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…e6c9backed Dunja Maric | 59c | 135.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…d29fbacked Elza Tomase | 55c | 118.18$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 306 | 42.2%129 W · 177 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Elza Tomase | 28c | 110.43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Dunja Maric | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Dunja Maric | 16c | 87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…df57backed Elza Tomase | 29c | 79.31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.31 | 155 | 31%48 W · 107 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Dunja Maric | 53c | 62.65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…667bbacked Dunja Maric | 71c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 214 | 19.6%42 W · 172 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Elza Tomase | 24c | 59.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Dunja Maric | 72c | 58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Dunja Maric | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Dunja Maric | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Elza Tomase | 29c | 49.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Dunja Maric | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Elza Tomase | 70c | 47.76$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 324 | 52.5%170 W · 154 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…7633backed Dunja Maric | 63c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…bf0dbacked Elza Tomase | 80c | 39.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 168 | 73.8%124 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…37d9backed Elza Tomase | 29c | 36.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Elza Tomase | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Dunja Maric | 71c | 31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Elza Tomase | 68c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Elza Tomase | 51c | 21.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 450 | 53.3%240 W · 210 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Dunja Maric | 68c | 20.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Dunja Maric | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Elza Tomase vs Dunja Maricthis page
- Tomase vs. Maric: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Tomase vs. Maric: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.