CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Rooster vs Ground Zero - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadb1de383bd7659d432a63903e569543bc9247299b138cc3980032b095782286
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ground Zeroof Rooster, Ground Zero
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,193
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,193 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb209…b744backed Rooster | 14c | 585.41$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.78 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Ground Zero | 75c | 451$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.68 | 5,194 | 55.2%2,869 W · 2,325 L | +131.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rooster | 18c | 374.18$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.31 | 8,133 | 50.3%4,091 W · 4,042 L | +169.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…bd8ebacked Ground Zero | 62c | 367.06$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.69 | 239 | 35.6%85 W · 154 L | -19.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Rooster | 25c | 297.61$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 356 | 38.5%137 W · 219 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Ground Zero | 61c | 243.36$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.95 | 936 | 45.3%424 W · 512 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Rooster | 43c | 237.3$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.08 | 3,706 | 29.5%1,093 W · 2,613 L | -297.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Ground Zero | 54c | 205.6$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.58 | 410 | 69%283 W · 127 L | +32.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed Ground Zero | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Rooster | 41c | 198.61$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.42 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc222…f6ccbacked Rooster | 22c | 165.23$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Ground Zero | 73c | 160$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.44 | 5,466 | 31.5%1,722 W · 3,744 L | -400.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Rooster | 51c | 157.39$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.06 | 569 | 48.9%278 W · 291 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rooster | 32c | 153.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 5,707 | 47.2%2,694 W · 3,013 L | +45.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Ground Zero | 40c | 151$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.08 | 2,442 | 46.8%1,142 W · 1,300 L | -54.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Rooster | 51c | 147.89$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.06 | 2,634 | 34.6%912 W · 1,722 L | -204.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Ground Zero | 25c | 118.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 249 | 54.2%135 W · 114 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Rooster | 42c | 113.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 4,879 | 43.4%2,116 W · 2,763 L | -93.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Rooster | 26c | 107$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 312 | 47.8%149 W · 163 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Rooster | 26c | 98.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 517 | 56.3%291 W · 226 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Rooster | 55c | 83.95$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 4,022 | 36.4%1,466 W · 2,556 L | -208.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Ground Zero | 58c | 68.37$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 446 | 72%321 W · 125 L | +26.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd2…0985backed Rooster | 25c | 62.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5275…9379backed Rooster | 57c | 57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed Ground Zero | 48c | 51.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 311 | 61.1%190 W · 121 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Rooster | 26c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 1,279 | 54.3%694 W · 585 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked Ground Zero | 75c | 46.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 229 | 63.3%145 W · 84 L | +23.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…1e02backed Ground Zero | 66c | 44.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Rooster | 71c | 41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Ground Zero | 69c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 2,293 | 43.3%994 W · 1,299 L | -70.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Ground Zero | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 2,241 | 47.6%1,067 W · 1,174 L | -59.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed Ground Zero | 74c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 254 | 50.8%129 W · 125 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Ground Zero | 57c | 28.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 628 | 54%339 W · 289 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Ground Zero | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 1,206 | 42%506 W · 700 L | -20.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd396…442cbacked Ground Zero | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…482dbacked Rooster | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Rooster vs Ground Zero - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Rooster vs Ground Zero (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #1 PlayoffsGround Zero won
- Counter-Strike: Rooster vs Ground Zero - Map 1 WinnerGround Zero won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.