CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Rooster vs Ground Zero (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #1 Playoffs

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e9b3117ee6c88915bd2fb9ccbb4c36fbd191535b668601f30dc26c031578a5e

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Ground Zeroof Rooster, Ground Zero
Resolved: Aug 28, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $35,997
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $36,785

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,997 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Ground Zero	79c	24,477$19,271 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,206.36	5,194	55.2%2,869 W · 2,325 L	+131.9wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Rooster	22c	4,500$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$990	1,444	33.4%482 W · 962 L	+39.6wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14af…ca2cbacked Rooster	19c	2,875$546 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$546.37	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	34cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd677…7579backed Rooster	21c	2,856$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$599.76	69	46.4%32 W · 37 L	-5.8wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Rooster	29c	1,383$401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401	538	35.9%193 W · 345 L	+16.4wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Rooster	22c	1,303$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.94	2,732	30.3%829 W · 1,903 L	-120.6wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x02f8…2239backed Rooster	26c	1,144$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.45	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Rooster	19c	1,137$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.29	1,710	53.2%909 W · 801 L	+65.7wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e91…391dbacked Rooster	24c	1,053$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.72	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Rooster	19c	976.34$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.53	1,629	29.8%485 W · 1,144 L	-90.0wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Ground Zero	77c	909.9$701 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.72	631	56.4%356 W · 275 L	+14.1wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4378…1bdebacked Rooster	21c	904.76$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.16per pick	46cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e18…872ebacked Ground Zero	75c	801.18$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.18	114	71.1%81 W · 33 L	+18.2wins	+0.16per pick	55cpaid	+27.5%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked Rooster	24c	714.99$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.41	288	40.6%117 W · 171 L	-17.1wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Ground Zero	75c	692.71$522 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.43	2,071	54%1,119 W · 952 L	+14.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…869ebacked Rooster	23c	674.02$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.28	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-14%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe49d…cc93backed Rooster	22c	661.5$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.32	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.24per pick	44cpaid	-71.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Rooster	16c	594.94$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.15	3,706	29.5%1,093 W · 2,613 L	-297.7wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Ground Zero	77c	572.14$438 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.99	2,697	52.1%1,405 W · 1,292 L	+30.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0760…80f8backed Rooster	25c	514.58$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.58	28	17.9%5 W · 23 L	-9.1wins	-0.32per pick	50cpaid	-64.4%equal weight	31-0.17 edge/pick
0x1448…e868backed Rooster	25c	464$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116	88	33%29 W · 59 L	-9.4wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-32%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Ground Zero	75c	417.77$313 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.44	500	55.2%276 W · 224 L	+5.9wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79c6…4cf3backed Rooster	21c	403$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.63	155	51.6%80 W · 75 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Rooster	20c	398.1$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.16	368	25.5%94 W · 274 L	-18.5wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1614…0bedbacked Ground Zero	73c	397.46$291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.74	119	38.7%46 W · 73 L	-10.1wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Rooster	22c	379.59$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.51	496	39.3%195 W · 301 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc700…31a1backed Rooster	24c	350$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	73	39.7%29 W · 44 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Rooster	23c	340$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.2	850	43.1%366 W · 484 L	-12.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x50a0…18ffbacked Rooster	21c	338$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.98	38	63.2%24 W · 14 L	+3.2wins	+0.08per pick	55cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Rooster	25c	336.52$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.13	468	42.7%200 W · 268 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Rooster	20c	319.59$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.92	4,165	50.9%2,119 W · 2,046 L	+70.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbadb…31a7backed Ground Zero	78c	299.99$234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66	159	49.7%79 W · 80 L	+5.7wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Rooster	27c	292.53$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.98	590	39.3%232 W · 358 L	-24.2wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-13%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e20…e3c8backed Rooster	22c	270$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.4	75	45.3%34 W · 41 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c9d…cb94backed Rooster	22c	257$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.54	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	-3.2wins	-0.12per pick	38cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Ground Zero	79c	251.89$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.9	138	69.6%96 W · 42 L	+6.4wins	+0.05per pick	65cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0e3…c760backed Rooster	22c	246.32$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	82	35.4%29 W · 53 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa72a…5685backed Rooster	23c	222.39$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.15	328	40.9%134 W · 194 L	-17.4wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rooster	21c	216.27$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.24	5,707	47.2%2,694 W · 3,013 L	+45.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x924d…6cb9backed Rooster	21c	213.33$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.8	64	42.2%27 W · 37 L	-3.4wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6983…88c3backed Rooster	22c	201.51$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.34	161	41.6%67 W · 94 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Ground Zero	79c	200$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42	101	58.4%59 W · 42 L	+7.2wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b79…b838backed Rooster	21c	200$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Rooster	25c	199.96$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.99	805	34%274 W · 531 L	-51.8wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Rooster	19c	199.49$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.6	223	53.8%120 W · 103 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed Rooster	24c	189.58$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.5	44	29.5%13 W · 31 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9266…a9d3backed Ground Zero	73c	182.99$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.41	111	60.4%67 W · 44 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe893…afaebacked Rooster	21c	150.43$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.59	126	42.9%54 W · 72 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x920a…29e0backed Rooster	21c	148.67$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.22	90	50%45 W · 45 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd098…8d1cbacked Rooster	29c	145$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.05	44	52.3%23 W · 21 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5440…f13bbacked Rooster	27c	143.19$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.56	139	48.9%68 W · 71 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Rooster	22c	138.48$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	209	45.5%95 W · 114 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x806a…b7dabacked Rooster	21c	133$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.93	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c6d…ab76backed Rooster	23c	132$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.91	386	50.5%195 W · 191 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd2bb…bd8ebacked Rooster	9c	126.67$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.33	239	35.6%85 W · 154 L	-19.5wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe598…e597backed Rooster	21c	120.19$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.24	38	63.2%24 W · 14 L	+6.7wins	+0.18per pick	45cpaid	+31.4%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed Rooster	23c	118.15$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.17	569	48.9%278 W · 291 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Rooster	20c	110.7$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.06	5,183	37.1%1,924 W · 3,259 L	-274.4wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Rooster	23c	103$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.69	193	31.1%60 W · 133 L	-11.5wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Rooster	24c	100$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	591	34.7%205 W · 386 L	-14.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b25…7a69backed Rooster	19c	98.05$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.63	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	-3.2wins	-0.11per pick	34cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Rooster	18c	92.5$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.3	4,879	43.4%2,116 W · 2,763 L	-93.7wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f38…13c8backed Rooster	25c	89.99$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.1	148	49.3%73 W · 75 L	-8.6wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Rooster	29c	88.38$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.63	550	55.1%303 W · 247 L	+18.2wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x297a…198bbacked Rooster	23c	88$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.24	72	33.3%24 W · 48 L	-5.6wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6609…4e73backed Rooster	23c	86.96$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked Rooster	26c	77.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.94	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Rooster	20c	75$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	714	49.3%352 W · 362 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5cd4…035bbacked Rooster	19c	74.5$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.16	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xace1…f428backed Rooster	24c	69$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.56	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.25per pick	39cpaid	-68.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdfd1…9ac5backed Rooster	21c	64.76$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.6	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc95e…102abacked Rooster	27c	60.93$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.45	97	50.5%49 W · 48 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Ground Zero	71c	48$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.92	1,279	54.3%694 W · 585 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Rooster	26c	45.45$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.9	1,995	47.5%948 W · 1,047 L	-55.4wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3080…ab1fbacked Ground Zero	76c	38.39$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.41	8	100%8 W · 0 L	+2.0wins	+0.24per pick	76cpaid	+32.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d2d…b69dbacked Ground Zero	74c	28.61$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.44	229	63.3%145 W · 84 L	+23.9wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Ground Zero	76c	26.32$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.32	135	67.4%91 W · 44 L	+19.1wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x104b…e9cebacked Ground Zero	78c	25.47$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.6	203	80.8%164 W · 39 L	+13.2wins	+0.06per pick	74cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc27e…d4fbbacked Ground Zero	74c	20.27$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.27	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Ground Zero	76c	16.59$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.98	446	56.1%250 W · 196 L	+16.3wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb47…4737backed Ground Zero	71c	15$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.35	160	78.8%126 W · 34 L	+18.6wins	+0.12per pick	67cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x395a…eb72backed Ground Zero	71c	15$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.35	123	75.6%93 W · 30 L	+10.8wins	+0.09per pick	67cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: Rooster vs Ground Zero (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #1 Playoffsthis page
Counter-Strike: Rooster vs Ground Zero - Map 1 WinnerGround Zero won
Counter-Strike: Rooster vs Ground Zero - Map 2 WinnerGround Zero won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: Rooster vs Ground Zero (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #1 Playoffs

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event