Tennis · resolved market
ITF Torino: Pia Lovric vs Sofia Rocchetti
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae5cacb6c68d0f7f0d789d7e3a934e5178ff133336fa11d214eb6f7da61d292f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pia Lovricof Pia Lovric, Sofia Rocchetti
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,275
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,275 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Sofia Rocchetti | 17c | 410.18$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.73 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Sofia Rocchetti | 43c | 274.63$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.81 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Sofia Rocchetti | 5c | 239$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Sofia Rocchetti | 35c | 168$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.18 | 314 | 43.6%137 W · 177 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Sofia Rocchetti | 22c | 149.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Pia Lovric | 61c | 131.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Sofia Rocchetti | 17c | 127.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Sofia Rocchetti | 17c | 127.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Pia Lovric | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Sofia Rocchetti | 11c | 116.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Sofia Rocchetti | 13c | 84.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Pia Lovric | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbce…e1fcbacked Pia Lovric | 57c | 71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Sofia Rocchetti | 17c | 65.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Pia Lovric | 69c | 63.35$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Pia Lovric | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Sofia Rocchetti | 44c | 49.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Pia Lovric | 61c | 45.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Sofia Rocchetti | 44c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Pia Lovric | 58c | 24.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160a…43d3backed Pia Lovric | 56c | 23.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -8.8wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…29e0backed Pia Lovric | 74c | 21.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.