Premier League · resolved market
Will Liverpool win on 2025-01-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae5d50d84c671554a07b521ae31db1c3a48cc8786711ea91de3d988656c5fe14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,161
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,161 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3489…7fffbacked No | 11c | 18,562$2,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…ace5backed No | 11c | 14,565$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,602.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 11c | 7,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 9c | 4,755$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.43 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d1…83eabacked No | 11c | 3,300$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 11c | 3,050$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.5 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 9c | 2,012$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.08 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 9c | 1,735$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.68 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 11c | 1,589$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.65 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 10c | 1,545$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.5 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 9c | 1,456$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.04 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 10c | 999.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 10c | 811.65$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.34 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 5c | 687.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 9c | 572.37$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.34 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 8c | 346.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 4c | 262.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 8c | 255.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 11c | 255$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked No | 11c | 200.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 156 | 36.5%57 W · 99 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 8c | 192.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed No | 10c | 99.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liverpool win on 2025-01-25?this page
- Will Ipswich win on 2025-01-25?No won
- Will Liverpool vs. Ipswich end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.