Fifa International · resolved market
Brazil leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae91e927ac0d21ae0d707f9ae8cc3f09cd31e8c258bb9df647374c5beb99b093
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 71c | 8,375$5,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,462.73 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 45c | 4,013$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824.27 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 30c | 3,707$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.94 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 31c | 1,851$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.52 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed No | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…3287backed Yes | 70c | 860$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 210 | 48.6%102 W · 108 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Yes | 52c | 800$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388 | 226 | 39.4%89 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 28c | 580.95$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.67 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 28c | 556.28$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.23 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 38c | 526.04$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.04 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…e3c9backed Yes | 73c | 509.48$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.48 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 28c | 491.12$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.43 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 51c | 436.98$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.93 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0f…3476backed Yes | 32c | 417.38$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.15 | 179 | 38%68 W · 111 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 32c | 267.47$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.55 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 18c | 245.91$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 98 | 29.6%29 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 31c | 239.61$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.43 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed No | 13c | 230.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 70c | 214.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5353…51b9backed Yes | 51c | 200.3$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.03 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed No | 29c | 198.59$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.59 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 28c | 192$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 397 | 46.3%184 W · 213 L | -28.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 69c | 145.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.2 | 479 | 35.1%168 W · 311 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a7…40f7backed No | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 66c | 113.31$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.31 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3296…2597backed Yes | 72c | 111.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 37c | 109.26$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 26c | 71.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f7…7656backed Yes | 72c | 62.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Yes | 59c | 55.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…5e62backed Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ac…e7d7backed Yes | 72c | 46.93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked Yes | 54c | 42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe36a…ae58backed No | 29c | 38.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d6…b88ebacked Yes | 72c | 31.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf347…81f8backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x309b…cfe9backed Yes | 70c | 16.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brazil leading at halftime?this page
- Brazil vs. Panama: Draw at halftime?No won
- Panama leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.