MLB · resolved market
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Lotte Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaec310fca185e4fcb2ed3673c9f4f66ee0f7c235baa8323437cb749d8a69631a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KT Wizof KT Wiz, Lotte Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,005
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,005 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Lotte Giants | 28c | 500$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.46 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked KT Wiz | 73c | 416$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.31 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Lotte Giants | 30c | 358$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.87 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed KT Wiz | 78c | 308.17$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked KT Wiz | 72c | 138.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.47 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked KT Wiz | 70c | 134.14$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.27 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lotte Giants | 21c | 129.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed KT Wiz | 80c | 124$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Lotte Giants | 11c | 92.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 309 | 34.3%106 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x304a…05ecbacked Lotte Giants | 21c | 70.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Lotte Giants | 41c | 68.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed KT Wiz | 53c | 66.36$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Lotte Giants | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed KT Wiz | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Lotte Giants | 41c | 36.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa80b…02d6backed Lotte Giants | 41c | 35.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed KT Wiz | 60c | 32.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed KT Wiz | 59c | 27.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1047…9e39backed Lotte Giants | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x860c…418dbacked Lotte Giants | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed KT Wiz | 79c | 14.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.11 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed KT Wiz | 71c | 14.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.