NHL · resolved market
KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Torpedo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaee7ee74f19a821fe6c73d1502991db54131f033bc1ae6a9e95fa37229c07709
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Torpedoof Lokomotiv Yaroslavl, Torpedo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,683
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,683 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 68c | 845.88$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.69 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked Torpedo | 32c | 759$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.12 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c7…3fa6backed Torpedo | 32c | 739.29$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 68c | 641.56$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.55 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 70c | 149.44$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.61 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Torpedo | 30c | 117$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 224 | 43.3%97 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Torpedo | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Torpedo | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Torpedo | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc25a…f243backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 70c | 22.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 66c | 21.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 70c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 421 | 44.4%187 W · 234 L | -28.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90a3…1701backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 70c | 14.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.